中国产业结构与经济增长研究:1990-2012

发布时间：2018-01-19 05:23

本文关键词： 三次产业全要素生产率资本边际产出就业问题　出处：《华东经济管理》2014年12期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：全要素生产率是分析经济增长源泉的重要工具,文章通过使用与前人不同的方法计算出1990-2012年中国三次产业全要素生产率,发现中国经济历年来主要靠第二产业全要素生产率拉动,但是2009年以后第三产业全要素生产率开始超越第二产业,成为经济增长的主要拉动因素。此外,文章计算出三次产业资本边际产出比重,从中可以看出我国应当调整投资在产业间的分配以提高资本效率。最后,通过产业结构与三次产业就业关系的研究发现,第三产业就业人数增加能够促进第三产业产值占国内生产总值的比重。
[Abstract]:Total factor productivity (TFP) is an important tool to analyze the source of economic growth. This paper calculates the total factor productivity (TFP) of three industries in China from 1990 to 2012 by using different methods. It is found that the Chinese economy has been mainly driven by the total factor productivity of the second industry over the years, but since 2009, the total factor productivity of the tertiary industry has begun to surpass the second industry and become the main driving factor of economic growth. The paper calculates the proportion of marginal output of three industrial capital, from which we can see that our country should adjust the allocation of investment among industries in order to improve the efficiency of capital. Through the study of the relationship between the industrial structure and the employment of the tertiary industry, it is found that the increase of the employment of the tertiary industry can promote the proportion of the output value of the tertiary industry to the gross domestic product (GDP).
【作者单位】：北京大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目(09AZD013)
【分类号】：F121.3;F124.1
【正文快照】： 一、引言实现产业结构的优化升级与劳动力的充分就业是我国经济发展追求的两个重要目标,两者同时影响我国经济发展的速度和质量。全要素生产率是指各要素(如资本和劳动等)投入之外的技术进步和能力实现等导致的产出增加,是政府制定长期可持续增长政策的重要依据。对于产业结构

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