山西外贸发展与产业优化关系研究

发布时间：2018-01-20 02:47

本文关键词： 山西省进出口贸易产业结构实证研究　出处：《山西财经大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：山西作为我国的资源大省，改革开放以来，对外贸易取得了长足发展，对外贸易总额由1990年的3.5亿美元，增长到2012年的150.5亿美元，增长了42倍。同期我国的对外贸易额为38667.6亿美元，山西外贸总额仅占全国比重的0.39%，不符合山西作为我国资源大省的地位。产业结构方面，三次产业结构由1978年的20.7:58.5:20.8演变为2012年的5.8:57.9:36.4，三次产业结构的优化取得了一定成果。同期我国的三次产业结构为10.1：45.3:44.6，说明山西第一产业和第三产业发展同全国相比相对滞后。从产业内部看，第一产业内部是以种植业为主的农业结构；第二产业内部工业占绝对优势，但工业行业内部长期以煤炭、焦炭等能源产业，不锈钢、金属镁等冶金产业作为山西的支柱产业，高端装备制造业和高新技术产业的发展相对滞后；第三产业内部仍以批发零售餐饮业、仓储及邮电通信业和交通运输这类劳动密集型的传统产业为主，行业内部有待于进一步优化。在山西开放度不断加大的背景下，，对外贸易必将对山西经济和产业的发展产生越来越大的影响。因此本文从对外贸易发展角度研究山西产业优化的问题，为山西省制定转型时期产业结构调整政策提供科学的依据。国内外学者关于对外贸易与产业发展关系的研究，在理论和实践上已经取得了的很多成就，尤其是针对对外贸易对我国沿海省区产业结构优化升级的研究，取得的成果很多，但就资源型省区对外贸易发展与产业结构优化升级的研究成果相对较少。本人在系统掌握山西省外贸发展状况和产业结构发展情况相关资料的基础上，针对山西省在经济转型发展的形势下，如何通过对外贸易大力发展，实现山西产业结构的优化问题进行了研究，以促进山西产业的转型发展。根据山西经济运行中的有关数据资料，本文通过定性分析并结合相关的实证分析方法：协正误差修正模型、格兰杰因果关系检验，对山西外贸发展与产业结构优化问题进行了分析论证，得出结论：山西对外贸易发展与三次产业发展、优化，存在长期的均衡关系。并在此基础上提出了如何通过大力发展对外贸易带动山西产业优化的相关对策。一方面关于外贸与产业发展关系的研究是一个长久课题，另一方面由于本人知识储备的限制，对于山西外贸发展与产业优化关系的研究会有不足之处，今后本人应该继续加强学习，从而对该问题的研究能够有更深入的了解。
[Abstract]:Shanxi Province as a major resource province in China, since the reform and opening up, foreign trade has made great progress, the total amount of foreign trade from 1990 350 million US dollars, to 2012 15.05 billion US dollars. During the same period, China's foreign trade amounted to three tillion eight hundred and sixty-six billion seven hundred and sixty million US dollars, while Shanxi's total foreign trade accounted for only 0.39% of the country's total. It does not accord with the status of Shanxi as a big resource province in our country. The third industrial structure changed from 20.7: 58.5: 20.8 in 1978 to 5.8: 57.9: 36.4 in 2012. In the same period, the third industrial structure of our country is 10.1: 45.3: 44.6. It shows that the development of primary industry and tertiary industry in Shanxi is lagging behind compared with the whole country. The internal industry of the secondary industry occupies the absolute advantage, but the industry industry takes coal, coke and other energy industries, stainless steel, metal magnesium and other metallurgical industries as the pillar industries in Shanxi for a long time. The development of high-end equipment manufacturing industry and high-tech industry lags behind; Within the tertiary industry, the traditional labor-intensive industries such as wholesale, retail, catering, warehousing, post and telecommunications, and transportation are still the main ones. The industry needs to be further optimized. In the context of increasing openness in Shanxi Province. Foreign trade will have more and more influence on the development of Shanxi's economy and industry, so this paper studies the optimization of Shanxi's industry from the perspective of foreign trade development. It provides a scientific basis for Shanxi Province to formulate the industrial structure adjustment policy during the transition period. Scholars at home and abroad on the relationship between foreign trade and industrial development, in theory and practice has made a lot of achievements, especially for foreign trade to optimize and upgrade the industrial structure of coastal provinces and regions of China. Much has been achieved. However, there are relatively few research results on the development of foreign trade and the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure in resource-based provinces. I have a systematic understanding of the development of foreign trade in Shanxi Province and the development of industrial structure on the basis of the relevant information. In order to promote the transformation and development of Shanxi's industry, this paper studies how to realize the optimization of Shanxi's industrial structure through the vigorous development of foreign trade under the situation of economic transformation and development in Shanxi Province. According to the relevant data of Shanxi economic operation, this paper through qualitative analysis and combined with the relevant empirical analysis methods: Co-positive error correction model, Granger causality test. This paper analyzes and demonstrates the development of Shanxi's foreign trade and the optimization of its industrial structure, and concludes that the development of Shanxi's foreign trade and the development of three industries should be optimized. There is a long-term equilibrium relationship, and on the basis of this, the author puts forward some relevant countermeasures on how to promote the industrial optimization of Shanxi by vigorously developing foreign trade. On the one hand, the study on the relationship between foreign trade and industrial development is a long-term issue, on the other hand, due to the limitations of my knowledge reserve, there will be deficiencies in the study of the relationship between the development of foreign trade and the optimization of industry in Shanxi. In the future, I should continue to strengthen the study, so that I can have a deeper understanding of this issue.
【学位授予单位】：山西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752.8;F127

【相似文献】