吉林省粮食物流对区域经济增长影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-20 08:19

本文关键词： 粮食物流区域经济增长吉林省　出处：《吉林大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着国务院常务会议中，“物流”身影出现的频率日益增加，物流作为一个产业已不再是发达国家的研究领域，它早已成为国家经济发展中一块必不可少的内容。现代物流作为增强企业核心竞争力的关键因素，作为推动经济健康迅速发展的“第三利润源泉”，在我国经济发展日新月异的今天，，依然受到了越来越多的关注。物流业的发展能够在很大程度上降低经济运行成本，改变区域经济增长方式，促进区域经济的可持续发展。通过大力发展吉林省的物流产业尤其是粮食物流业，新的产业形态将会逐步形成并长足发展，以吉林省各大中城市为中心的区域市场也会随之发展壮大。通过对物流、粮食物流、区域经济增长及三者相关关系的分析与探讨，在初步掌握吉林省粮食物流与经济发展的现状及存在问题的基础上，运用较为恰当的数学模型及方法进行相关理论与实证分析，最终得出粮食物流与吉林省经济增长之间的关系，粮食物流发展对吉林省区域经济增长的作用。本文在分析粮食物流与区域经济增长关系上主要采用的是计量经济学中的格兰杰因果检验法对其进行检验，在定量研究的基础上，明确粮食物流可以促进区域经济增长，最后运用Logistic模型对所得到的结论进行弹性分析、边际分析和拐点分析，最终提出建议以更好地促进粮食物流对区域经济增长的作用。
[Abstract]:With the increasing frequency of "logistics" in the executive meeting of the State Council, logistics, as an industry, is no longer a research field in developed countries. It has already become an indispensable content in the national economic development. As a key factor to enhance the core competitiveness of enterprises, modern logistics has become the "third profit source" to promote the healthy and rapid development of economy. With the rapid development of economy in our country, more and more attention has been paid to the development of logistics industry. The development of logistics industry can greatly reduce the cost of economic operation and change the mode of regional economic growth. Promote the sustainable development of regional economy. Through vigorously developing the logistics industry in Jilin Province, especially the grain logistics industry, the new industrial form will gradually form and develop rapidly. The regional market with Jilin Province each big and medium city as center also can develop and grow with it. Through the logistics, grain logistics, regional economic growth and the relationship between the three analysis and discussion, on the basis of preliminary understanding of Jilin Province grain logistics and economic development status and existing problems. By using the more appropriate mathematical model and method to carry on the related theory and the empirical analysis, finally obtains the grain logistics and the Jilin Province economic growth relations, the grain logistics development to Jilin Province regional economic growth function. In this paper, the relationship between grain logistics and regional economic growth is mainly analyzed by Granger causality test in econometrics, on the basis of quantitative research. It is clear that grain logistics can promote regional economic growth. Finally, elastic analysis, marginal analysis and inflection point analysis are carried out by using Logistic model. Finally, some suggestions are put forward to promote the effect of grain logistics on regional economic growth.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F326.11;F127

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