前苏联经济增长的TFP讨论——苏俄与西方序列的比较

发布时间：2018-01-20 21:05

本文关键词： 前苏联经济增长全要素生产率时间序列　出处：《俄罗斯研究》2014年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：由于历史和统计制度的原因,前苏联经济增长的高速性和争议性并存。对此,苏俄与西方过去一直存在认知差异。本文以序列为研究切入点,对双方的前苏联经济数据及TFP分析进行了整理、比较和讨论。通过规模报酬不变假设的C-D生产函数余值方法,分1928-1990和1960-1990两个时段独立测算了5种不同的投入产出组合下前苏联宏观经济增长TFP的变动。由于西方低估经济增长且高估资本投入,1950年以前双方的TFP走势判断截然相反。而1960年后的前苏联经济增长主要依靠要素投入。就70年代后陷入TFP持续倒退的问题而言,双方数据分析的结果是一致的。
[Abstract]:Because of the history and the statistical system, the former Soviet Union's economic growth coexists with the high speed and the controversy. For this reason, there has always been cognitive difference between the Soviet Union and the West in the past. This paper takes the sequence as the starting point of the research. The economic data of the former Soviet Union and the TFP analysis are collated, compared and discussed. The residual value method of C-D production function is adopted. In the two periods of 1928-1990 and 1960-1990, the changes of TFP in the former Soviet Union under five different input-output combinations were independently measured. The West underestimated economic growth and overestimated it. Capital investment. Before 1950, the TFP trend between the two sides was quite the opposite. After 1960, the former Soviet Union's economic growth mainly depended on factor input. In terms of the sustained regression of TFP after 70s. The results of the data analysis between the two sides are consistent.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学经济与资源管理研究院;
【分类号】：F151.2
【正文快照】： 04-0165-(27)作为20世纪最重要的国家之一,前苏联从一个落后的农业国家,在短短几十年间迅速成长为与西方世界相抗衡的强大工业力量。而在奇迹般的辉煌之后,又最终迎来了轰然倒塌的结局。作为发展进程的决定性因素,前苏联经济一直备受各方关注。不过,由于历史、制度和意识形态

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