1978-2011年广东省城乡收入差距与经济增长关系的研究

发布时间：2018-01-25 06:36

本文关键词： 广东经济发展城乡收入差距经济增长　出处：《华南理工大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：广东作为改革开放的窗口，长期以来一直是我国经济发展的排头兵，对广东省城乡收入差距与经济增长之关系的研究具有一定的代表性。本文首先从城乡绝对收入差距与城乡收入比两个方面对1978-2011年广东省城乡收入差距与经济增长的关系进行经验描述，并和全国的进行对比，初步了解和认识广东城乡收入差距与经济增长关系的轨迹或特征，且将1978年到2011年这34个统计年度的广东与全国城乡收入差距与经济增长关系的历程分成五个阶段，详细说明、分析二者关系的规律和特征。然后讨论了二元经济理论模型的适用性，并利用劳动剩余型发展中国家二元经济理论模型解释了广东省城乡收入差距与经济增长的关系，并进一步从经济体制改革、政府干预和宏观经济等方面对两者的关系进行理论解释。最后利用回归模型、协整检验、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果检验进行实证分析，验证“倒U”型曲线和分析城乡收入差距与经济增长之间的互动关系。经过分析，本文主要得出以下几点结论：（1）广东城乡收入差距与经济增长大致呈“倒U”型曲线的关系，二元经济发展模型在广东省具有一定的适用性；（2）1978-2011年广东长期处于二元经济理论模型的第一阶段，，城乡收入差距促进了经济的快速增长，但由于存在迁徙的壁垒以及城市人口的承载能力的限制，使得经济的快速增长并未起到很好的缩小城乡收入差距的作用；（3）1978-2011年广东城乡收入差距与经济增长的关系会受到经济体制改革、政府干预和宏观经济等因素的影响，呈现出一定的波动性；（4）广东城乡收入差距与经济增长关系的“拐点”已近出现，但并不稳定，未来出现反弹或在高位波动等情况都是有可能的。
[Abstract]:Guangdong, as the window of reform and opening up, has long been the vanguard of China's economic development. The research on the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong province has certain representativeness. Firstly, this paper analyzes the urban and rural income of Guangdong province from 1978 to 2011 from the two aspects of absolute urban-rural income gap and urban-rural income ratio. The relationship between entry gap and economic growth is described empirically. And compared with the whole country, preliminary understanding and understanding of the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong track or characteristics. From 1978 to 2011, the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong and China was divided into five stages. The law and characteristics of the relationship between the two are analyzed, and then the applicability of the dual economic theory model is discussed. It also explains the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong Province by using the dualistic economic theory model of labor surplus developing countries, and further reforms the economic system. Finally, we use regression model, cointegration test, error correction model and Granger causality test to make empirical analysis. Verify the "inverted U" curve and analyze the interaction between urban and rural income gap and economic growth. Through analysis, this paper draws the following conclusions: (1) the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong is roughly "inverted U" curve, and the dual economic development model has certain applicability in Guangdong Province; From 1978 to 2011, Guangdong was in the first stage of dual economic theory model, and the income gap between urban and rural areas promoted the rapid economic growth. However, due to the existence of barriers to migration and the limitation of urban population carrying capacity, the rapid economic growth has not played a good role in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. From 1978 to 2011, the relationship between income gap between urban and rural areas and economic growth in Guangdong will be affected by economic system reform, government intervention and macroeconomic factors, showing certain volatility. 4) the "inflection point" of the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong is near, but it is not stable. It is possible to rebound or fluctuate at a high level in the future.
【学位授予单位】：华南理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.7;F127

【参考文献】