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新疆南北疆产业结构差异研究

发布时间:2018-01-26 09:45

  本文关键词: 产业结构 产业结构演进 差异分析 产业政策 出处:《石河子大学》2013年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文


【摘要】:西部大开发以来,在我国经济持续、健康、快速发展的大背景下,新疆也呈现出良好的发展势头。一直以来为了配合国家西部大开发战略的实施,自治区政府一直采取鼓励天山北坡经济带优先发展的非均衡产业政策,新疆南北疆之间经济发展水平,人民收入、生活水平,基础设施建设水平的差距逐渐增大,近年来新疆区域经济差异已经超出警戒线水平、新疆区域经济发展的马太效应初显,日益扩大的区域经济差异会阻碍新疆经济的协调发展,同时对新疆乃至全国的稳定造成威胁。新疆座谈会后新疆面临着前所未有的发展机遇,中央宏观经济政策支持,19个经济发达省份全面援疆,又时逢新一轮的全国性产业转移高潮。各区域、地州需要结合自身实际制定不同的产业政策,进行差异化的产业结构调整。因此全面、深入、系统的研究新疆区域产业结构差异,总结各区域产业结构特点,对实现新疆区域协调发展、实现新疆跨越式发展有重要参考价值。 过大的区域差距是导致国家、地区不稳定的重要因素。在区域经济增长中,结构因素是重要的增长源泉,产业结构差异会导致区域经济增长速度和质量的差异。本文在这一基本认识的基础上,首先探究了南北疆各自的产业结构形成条件与现状特征;其次运用空间计量经济学的部分指标与分析方法分析了南北疆产业结构的演进过程,以及演进过程中呈现出的空间差异;第三、应用实证分析的研究方法从转换速度与方向、转化能力与转换效益三个方面对南北疆产业结构转换差异进行了分析;最后粗浅的提出了旨在促进南北疆协调发展的产业结构调整政策。 通过分析,本文得出以下结论:(1)当前南北疆三次产业结构特点鲜明,农业南疆地区发展势头强劲,发展潜力巨大;第二产业呈现出“南建北工”的特点;第三产业发展北疆地区质量更高,南疆地区存在着一定程度的“虚高化”。(2)南北疆产业结构演进受区位条件、经济基础与区域资源类型等条件影响,呈现出不同的演进路径与特点;新疆各地州产业结构的演进过程具有较强的空间正相关性,部分地州产业结构具有较强的空间依赖性,此类地州发展务必需以区域角度出发,考虑区域整体发展。(3)从产业结构转化的角度来看,新疆产业结构转换能力存在着较明显的“北高南低”特征。就产业结构转换的速度而言,北疆地区三次产业结构调整更加均衡,天山北坡经济带各地州已经具备了相应的经济基础,产业结构调整的“结构红利”较为明显;南疆地区(除巴音郭楞蒙古自治州外)虽然保持了较高的产业结构转换速度,但这种高速缺乏相应的经济基础,,所以并没有带来相应的经济高速发展,夯实经济基础,提高产业结构转换能力应是其当前产业结构调整的主要目标。
[Abstract]:Under the background of sustained, healthy and rapid development of China's economy, Xinjiang has also shown a good momentum of development since the development of the western region, which has always been in line with the implementation of the national strategy for the development of the western region. The regional government has been adopting a non-balanced industrial policy to encourage the preferential development of the northern slope of Tianshan economic belt. The level of economic development, the income of the people, and the standard of living between the northern and southern Xinjiang areas of Xinjiang have been adopted. The gap of infrastructure construction level is gradually increasing. In recent years, the regional economic differences in Xinjiang have exceeded the warning line level, and the Matthew effect of Xinjiang regional economic development is emerging. The widening regional economic differences will hinder the coordinated development of Xinjiang's economy, and at the same time threaten the stability of Xinjiang and even the whole country. After the Xinjiang Forum, Xinjiang is facing unprecedented opportunities for development. With the support of the central macroeconomic policy, 19 economically developed provinces fully assist Xinjiang, and at the same time meet a new round of national industrial transfer climax. Different regions and prefectures need to formulate different industrial policies in combination with their own reality. Therefore, comprehensive, in-depth, systematic study of the regional industrial structure differences in Xinjiang, summed up the characteristics of the regional industrial structure, to achieve the coordinated development of Xinjiang region. It has important reference value to realize the development of Xinjiang by leaps and bounds. Excessive regional disparity is an important factor leading to the instability of the country and region. In the regional economic growth, the structural factor is an important source of growth. The difference of industrial structure will lead to the difference of regional economic growth speed and quality. On the basis of this basic understanding, this paper first explores the forming conditions and current characteristics of the industrial structure of the northern and southern Xinjiang; Secondly, it analyzes the evolution process of the industrial structure of the northern and southern Xinjiang and the spatial differences in the evolution process by using some indexes and analysis methods of spatial econometrics. Thirdly, the paper analyzes the difference of industrial structure transformation between North and South Xinjiang from three aspects: the speed and direction of transformation, the ability of transformation and the efficiency of transformation. Finally, the paper puts forward the industrial structure adjustment policy to promote the harmonious development of north and south Xinjiang. Through the analysis, this paper draws the following conclusion: (1) the three industrial structures of the north and south Xinjiang are characterized by distinct characteristics, the development momentum of the agricultural south Xinjiang is strong, and the development potential is huge; The second industry presents the characteristics of "Nanjian Bei Gong"; The development of the tertiary industry in the north of Xinjiang is of higher quality, and there is a certain degree of "virtual high" in the southern Xinjiang.) the evolution of the industrial structure of the northern and southern Xinjiang is influenced by the regional conditions, the economic base and the type of regional resources, and so on. Showing different evolution paths and characteristics; The evolution process of the industrial structure of all the states in Xinjiang has strong spatial positive correlation, and the industrial structure of some prefectures has a strong spatial dependence, so the development of this kind of prefectures must be based on the regional perspective. Considering the overall development of the region, from the perspective of industrial structure transformation, the ability of industrial structure transformation in Xinjiang has obvious characteristics of "north high and south low". As far as the speed of industrial structure transformation is concerned. The adjustment of the three industrial structures in northern Xinjiang is more balanced, and the corresponding economic base has been established in the northern slope of Tianshan economic belt, and the "structural dividend" of the adjustment of industrial structure is obvious. Although the southern Xinjiang region (except Bayingorang Mongol Autonomous Prefecture) has maintained a high speed of industrial structure transformation, this high speed lacks the corresponding economic base, so it does not bring about the corresponding rapid economic development. Strengthening the economic base and improving the ability of industrial structure transformation should be the main target of its current industrial structure adjustment.
【学位授予单位】:石河子大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F127

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