中国经济增长、区域收敛与空间极化关系研究

发布时间：2018-02-02 02:52

本文关键词： 经济增长区域收敛空间极化大城市化　出处：《湘潭大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文根据新古典增长理论、区域非均衡发展理论和新经济地理学，结合中国区域改革发展背景，提出了两个假设推断。假设推断一、空间极化是有利于中国经济增长的，同时对区域间的收敛也是有利的。假设推断二、空间极化在运输成本不断降低的条件下，会逐步升高，而要素运输效率的提升是市场经济发展的必然，违背极化发展规律的措施可能是损害经济发展效率。为了验证这两个假设推断，本文构造了TW空间极化指数的面板数据，参考β条件收敛模型，增加TW控制变量，进行实证研究分析。实证模型的验证结果显示：中国经济区域β收敛系数显著；控制空间极化指标，β收敛系数会上升；TW极化指数和平方项对经济增长影响效果显著，但各系数值符号相反；对于影响TW空间极化指数的变量，“运输成本”指标正向效果明显。本文的研究结论是：中国区域经济增长存在绝对收敛和条件收敛；空间极化有利于加速区域间的收敛速度，同时极化对地区的经济发展成“U”型变化趋势，及空间极化程度较低时，，极化阻碍增长，极化程度突破临界值，有利于经济增长率提升；对地区空间极化水平的影响，基本符合新经济地理学理论，“运输成本”的下降，有利于空间极化的产生。在此研究基础上，本文提出：中国区域经济发展应该采用以大城市化，高集中度为主，小城镇均衡化为辅的发展战略。在实现过程中，区域间要建立相应协调机制，从政府职能转变、财税政策转移、产业结构调整、区域分工与一体化等方面，有效协调经济增长、区域收敛与空间极化关系。
[Abstract]:On the basis of neoclassical growth theory, regional unbalanced development theory and new economic geography, combined with the background of China's regional reform and development, this paper puts forward two hypothetical inferences. Spatial polarization is beneficial to China's economic growth and regional convergence. The improvement of factor transportation efficiency is inevitable in the development of market economy, and the measure of violating the law of polarized development may be harmful to the efficiency of economic development. In this paper, the panel data of TW spatial polarization exponent are constructed, and the 尾 conditional convergence model is referred to to increase the TW control variable. The empirical analysis shows that the 尾 convergence coefficient of China's economic region is significant; The 尾 convergence coefficient will increase when the spatial polarization index is controlled. The effect of TW polarization index and square term on economic growth is significant, but the sign of each coefficient value is opposite. For the variables that affect the spatial polarization index of TW, the forward effect of "transportation cost" index is obvious. The conclusions of this paper are as follows: there is absolute convergence and conditional convergence in China's regional economic growth; Spatial polarization is beneficial to accelerate the convergence rate between regions. At the same time, the polarization changes into a "U" type trend of regional economic development, and when the spatial polarization degree is low, polarization hinders growth, and the polarization degree breaks through the critical value. It is beneficial to the increase of economic growth rate; The influence on the regional spatial polarization level is basically in line with the new economic geography theory, and the decrease of "transportation cost" is beneficial to the generation of spatial polarization. On the basis of this research, this paper puts forward: China's regional economic development should adopt the development strategy of large urbanization, high concentration and small town equalization. The corresponding coordination mechanism should be set up among regions, which can effectively coordinate economic growth, regional convergence and spatial polarization from the aspects of government function transformation, fiscal and taxation policy transfer, industrial structure adjustment, regional division of labor and integration, and so on.
【学位授予单位】：湘潭大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.1;F129.9

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