基于TOPSIS的省级低碳经济发展评价及其空间面板计量分析

发布时间：2018-02-13 16:27

本文关键词： TOPSIS 空间面板模型低碳经济区域发展　出处：《中国管理科学》2014年S1期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文利用2004—2011年30个省份的数据,采用TPOSIS模型对中国分省低碳经济发展情况进行综合评价。简单的统计分析发现中国省级低碳经济发展存在显著的空间相关性与差异性。通过空间面板计量模型对2004—2011年各省份的TOPSIS评价值、产业结构、贸易结构、财政支出、城市化进程等变量进行回归分析,进一步发现中国各省份低碳经济发展存在显著的正向地理相关性,二产比重、能源中煤炭比重、对外开放程度以及财政支出对于综合评价指标具有负向作用,而城市化率对于综合评价指标具有显著的正向作用。传统的低碳经济发展评价的研究一般只关注评价指标选取与评价模型设计,缺乏对评价结果的深入分析。本研究弥补了这一方面的不足,为省级低碳经济发展提供一定支持。
[Abstract]:This paper uses data from 30 provinces from 2004 to 2011, The TPOSIS model is used to evaluate the development of low-carbon economy in different provinces of China. A simple statistical analysis shows that there is significant spatial correlation and difference in the development of low-carbon economy at provincial level in China. TOPSIS evaluation values for provinces, 2004-2011, By regression analysis of industrial structure, trade structure, fiscal expenditure, urbanization process and other variables, it is further found that there are significant positive geographical correlations in the development of low-carbon economy in various provinces of China, the proportion of secondary production, the proportion of coal in energy, and so on. The degree of opening to the outside world and financial expenditure have a negative effect on the comprehensive evaluation index. The urbanization rate has a significant positive effect on the comprehensive evaluation index. The traditional research of low carbon economic development evaluation only pays attention to the selection of evaluation index and the design of evaluation model. Lack of in-depth analysis of the evaluation results. This study makes up for the shortcomings of this aspect, and provides some support for the development of provincial low-carbon economy.
【作者单位】：北京大学光华管理学院;
【基金】：国家发改委与财政部计划课题子项目(201203)
【分类号】：F124.5;F224

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