城市化、政府生产性支出与城乡收入均等化

发布时间：2018-03-04 18:02

本文选题：城市化　切入点：城乡居民收入差距　出处：《经济社会体制比较》2014年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章运用中国1978~2012年的数据,采用误差修正模型(VECM)与Granger因果检验等方法进行实证估计,研究发现:不论是在短期还是在长期内,城市化都是显著影响收入差距的原因。城市化短期内缩小而长期内扩大了城乡收入差距,呈现"U"型结构。这主要是因为长期以来中国推行的城市偏向、扭曲的城镇化道路,在总趋势上扩大了城乡收入差距,而开启的新型城镇化道路则在短期内缩小了收入差距。政府用于农村生产性支出的增加及政府对农村的生产性支出相对于农村固定资产投资较快增长在短期内(与城市化共同作用)及在长期内都能显著地缩小收入差距,可部分解决城市化发展中农村发展资金不足的问题。政府应进一步稳步推行统筹城乡发展的新型城镇化道路,同时应继续加大对农村和农业特别是基础设施等的投入,使得城乡收入最终均等化。
[Abstract]:Based on the data from 1978 to 2012 in China, the paper uses the error correction model (VECM) and the Granger causality test to make an empirical estimate. The results show that: in the short or long term, Urbanization is the reason why the income gap is significantly affected. Urbanization shrinks in the short term and widens the income gap between urban and rural areas in the long run, showing a "U" structure. This is mainly due to the long history of urban bias and distorted urbanization in China. In the general trend, the income gap between urban and rural areas has been widened. However, the new way of urbanization has narrowed the income gap in the short term. The increase of government productive expenditure in rural areas and the rapid growth of government productive expenditure in rural areas compared with fixed assets investment in rural areas are in the short term (. Both together with urbanization) and in the long run can significantly narrow the income gap, The problem of insufficient funds for rural development in the course of urbanization can be partially solved. The government should further steadily promote a new urbanization road that coordinates urban and rural development, and at the same time should continue to increase investment in rural areas and agriculture, especially in infrastructure. The final equalization of urban and rural income.
【作者单位】：复旦大学经济学院;
【分类号】：F299.2;F812.45;F124.7

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