城市化背景下的中国第三产业区域竞争力研究

发布时间：2018-03-05 13:09

本文选题：第三产业　切入点：城市化　出处：《河南大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：城市化进程与第三产业的发展是国内外相关学者所探讨的热门话题。为了增强工、农业生产，提高社会化和专业化水平，促进市场充分发育，优化生产结构，缓解就业压力，进而促进整个经济持续、快速和健康地发展，必须推动城市化进程、大力发展第三产业。第三产业的兴旺发达和城市化水平的高低已成为衡量经济现代化的重要特征指标。本文利用了产业经济学、区域经济学、计量经济学和统计学的相关理论和方法对城市化进程和第三产业区域发展问题进行了研究。全文分为六章，分别从国内外相关研究、城市化与第三产业的现状与关系、城市化背景下的第三产业区域竞争力研究和结论与政策建议等方面进行探讨。第一章为绪论，主要介绍研究背景、意义、研究方法和创新与不足之处。本文2-3章为研究现状和发展现状，据国内外研究文献表明，第三产业的发展对一国经济的影响至关重要，第三产业有着吸纳就业、优化产业结构和促进经济增长等功能，而城市化和第三产业的发展互为充要条件。本文主体部分为4-5章。第四章，在《2012年中国统计年鉴》最新数据资料的基础上，收集了中国1978-2011年城市化率和第三产业就业人数数据，运用VAR模型和Granger因果关系对城市化率和第三产业就业人数之间的关系进行了探讨。第五章，收集了2011年第三产业相关指标，运用莫兰指数、RCA指标法和因子分析法对第三产业空间集聚和区域竞争力进行了分析，并得出省市的排名。在以上理论分析与实证分析的基础上，本文最后一章为结论和对策建议部分。得出的基本结论是：第一，与我国整体经济发展水平相比，我国第三产业发展相对滞后，尤其滞后于第二产业的发展；第二，东部地区新兴服务行业所占的比重较大，而传统服务业所占比重在西部地区较大；第三，我国第三产业发展水平和城市化发展水平呈正相关，城市化率越高的地方，第三产业发展状况越好，反之，城市化率低的区域，第三产业发展缓慢，中、西部地区城市化率偏低，影响了第三产业的发展；第四,就城市化进程与第三产业的关系来看，它们是相互影响和相互制约的，但是这种影响并不是立即就表现出来的，城市化对于第三产业的影响是滞后的，同样，第三产业对城市化的影响也是滞后的；最后，从我国区域第三产业竞争力方面来看，东部发展势头良好，竞争力要优于中、西部地区，而中部地区又要比西部地区的第三产业更具备竞争力。运用空间统计学的方法，从空间集聚的角度来看，，东部地区呈高值-高值集聚；而西部地区呈低值-低值集聚，说明东西部地区呈现出不平衡性，而且这种不平衡性有继续扩大的趋势。本文对策建议是：为了促进第三产业发展，消除东西部差异，扭转不平衡局面，本文笔者从国家政策扶持，改善外部环境，提升城市化进程，加大教育、医疗卫生、科学研究的投入以提高劳动力素质等方面来改善第三产业的发展环境。本文立足于统计分析的角度，在大量实证分析的基础上，采取定性分析与定量分析相结合的方法来围绕城市化背景下的中国第三产业区域竞争力进行研究。本文运用了大量的图表进行描述分析，旨在揭示城市化与第三产业的关系以及第三产业发展现状与不足。本篇论文还存在一些不足之处，如并没有充分利用空间统计学的方法对第三产业区域竞争力和城市化进行研究，本想引入空间误差、空间滞后和地理加权回归模型，但回归结果并不显著，此处不再详述。此外，在数据收集方面也遇到一些困难之处，如大样本的采集等。这些都有待进一步完善研究。
[Abstract]:The development of city urbanization and the third industry is a hot topic of domestic and foreign scholars discussed. In order to strengthen the work of agricultural production, improve social and professional level, to promote the full development of the market, optimize the production structure, ease the employment pressure, and promote the whole economy sustained, rapid and healthy development, we must promote the city. The process, developing the third industry. The third industry and the prosperity of the city level has become an important feature indicator of economic modernization. The use of industrial economics, regional economics, the theory of economics and Econometrics and statistics method on the development of city urbanization and the third industrial area were studied.
This paper is divided into six chapters, respectively, from the domestic and foreign related research, the status quo and relationship between the city and the third industry, the city under the background of the regional competitiveness of the third industry research conclusions and policy recommendations and other aspects. The first chapter is the introduction, mainly introduces the research background, significance, research methods and innovation of this paper. The 2-3 chapter is the status quo of the research and development, according to the domestic and foreign research literature shows that the important development of the third industry influence on a country's economy, the third industry has to absorb employment, optimize industrial structure and promote economic growth, and the development of city and the third industry are necessary and sufficient conditions for the main part of this paper is the 4-5 chapter. In the fourth chapter, based on China statistical yearbook > the latest data of <2012 years, collected 1978-2011 years Chinese city rate and employment data of third industries, the use of VAR model and Granger Effect on the relationship between the city and the third industry employment rate is discussed. The fifth chapter, collect the relevant indicators in 2011 third industry, using Moran's index, RCA index method and factor analysis method the third industrial agglomeration and regional competitiveness are analyzed, and the provinces and cities ranked based on the above theoretical analysis. With the empirical analysis, the last chapter is the conclusion and suggestion part. The basic conclusion is: first, compared with the development level of China's overall economic development, the third industry of our country is relatively backward, especially the development of the second industry lags behind; second, the emerging service industry in eastern region accounted for a large proportion, and the proportion of traditional service industry in the western region is relatively large; third, the level of China's third industry development and city development level was positively related to the higher rate of city areas, the development of the third industry The better, on the other hand, the low rate of city area, slow development of the third industry in western region, city rate low, affecting the development of the third industry; fourth, the relationship between city urbanization and the third industry point of view, they are mutual influence and mutual restriction, but this effect is not immediately on the performance the city is also lagging behind for the impact of the third industry, the third industry is lagging behind, the influence on the city; finally, the competitiveness of China's third regional industry perspective, the eastern good momentum of development, the competition is better than that in the western region, and the central region and the western region of the third industry is more than competitive. Using the method of spatial statistics, spatial agglomeration from the point of view, the eastern region has high high value agglomeration; while the western region is low value and low value of agglomeration, the western region showed that the East is not Balance, and the imbalance of the trend has continued to expand. The countermeasures are: to promote the development of the third industry, eliminate the differences between East and West, reversing the unbalanced situation, this article from the national policy support, improve the external environment, enhance the city urbanization, increase education, health care, scientific research investment to improve the labor force quality and so on to improve the environment for the development of the third industry.
This paper is based on the statistical analysis, based on a large number of empirical analysis on the methods of qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis to the competitiveness of regional China around third industrial city under the background of the research. In this paper, the use of a large number of charts to describe and analyze the relationship between the city and to reveal the shortcomings and the third industry and development status of the third industry. This paper also has some shortcomings, such as not making full use of spatial statistical methods to study the third industry competitiveness and regional city, wanted to introduce spatial error, spatial lag and geographically weighted regression model, but the regression results are not significant, not detailed here. In addition, in terms of data collection also encountered some difficulties, such as large sample collection. These are to be further studied.

【学位授予单位】：河南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124;F224;F121.3

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