虚拟经济统计方法及其应用研究

发布时间：2018-03-09 14:05

本文选题：虚拟经济　切入点：统计核算　出处：《湖南大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：受世界经济调整过渡及我国各种因素的影响,我国经济已步入新常态时期,面临新的机遇与挑战。随着经济全球化和金融管制的放松,虚拟经济获得了巨大发展。虚拟资产增长速度愈来愈快,在整个经济体系中的比重也愈来愈大。越来越多的人关注虚拟经济的健康运行与宏观调控,对虚拟经济发展规模、结构、比例、速度等数据产生了空前需求。而我国尚未建立完善的虚拟经济统计方法研究体系,数据空缺严重,无法满足社会各界的需要。此时,进行虚拟经济统计方法研究不仅有助于我国政府部门建立虚拟经济统计方法体系,提高数据质量,还对整个经济系统持续有效发展具有重要作用。首先,本文从虚拟经济统计核算现状出发,分析了虚拟经济统计核算的意义,建立了虚拟经济统计核算方法体系,并对分类依据、核算指标、核算规则及核算方法等问题进行了系统设计。第二,针对我国虚拟经济统计调查方法现状,探讨了虚拟经济统计调查的必要性,设计了虚拟经济统计调查方法体系,并将二重抽样方法纳入其中,提出了虚拟经济总体指标和抽样误差的估计公式。第三,研究了虚拟经济统计分析方法现状,并对多种统计分析方法进行综合比较,在此基础上,采用综合指标评价法和VECM模型法对我国虚拟经济进行实证研究,进而提出改进我国虚拟经济统计分析方法的设想。最后,在研究虚拟经济统计核算方法、虚拟经济统计调查方法及虚拟经济统计分析方法的基础上,结合我国虚拟经济统计现状,提出改进虚拟经济统计方法、健全虚拟经济统计体系及提高虚拟经济统计数据质量的对策建议。
[Abstract]:Influenced by the world economic adjustment and transition and various factors in China, China's economy has entered a new normal period, facing new opportunities and challenges. With the economic globalization and financial deregulation, Virtual economy has made great progress. Virtual assets are growing faster and faster, and the proportion in the whole economic system is also increasing. More and more people pay attention to the healthy operation and macro-control of virtual economy, and develop the scale of virtual economy. Structure, proportion, speed and other data have produced unprecedented demand. However, our country has not yet established a perfect research system of virtual economic statistical methods, and the data are so vacant that they cannot meet the needs of all sectors of society. The research on the statistical method of virtual economy is not only helpful for government departments to set up the statistical method system of virtual economy and improve the data quality, but also plays an important role in the sustainable and effective development of the whole economic system. Based on the present situation of statistical accounting of virtual economy, this paper analyzes the significance of statistical accounting of virtual economy, establishes the method system of statistical accounting of virtual economy, and gives the classification basis and accounting index. Accounting rules and accounting methods are systematically designed. Secondly, aiming at the present situation of virtual economic statistical survey in China, the necessity of virtual economic statistical survey is discussed, and the method system of virtual economic statistical survey is designed. And the double sampling method is included, and the estimation formula of the total index and sampling error of virtual economy is put forward. Thirdly, the present situation of statistical analysis method of virtual economy is studied, and the comprehensive comparison of various statistical analysis methods is carried out, on the basis of which, This paper makes an empirical study on the virtual economy in China by using the comprehensive index evaluation method and VECM model method, and then puts forward the assumption of improving the statistical analysis method of the virtual economy in our country. Finally, the paper studies the statistical accounting method of the virtual economy. On the basis of the survey method of virtual economy statistics and the statistical analysis method of virtual economy, combined with the present situation of fictitious economy statistics in our country, the paper puts forward to improve the method of virtual economy statistics. Improve the system of virtual economic statistics and improve the quality of virtual economic statistics.
【学位授予单位】：湖南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F124

【参考文献】