2014年中国沿海区域经济运行环境分析与预期——沿海发达省域经济视点的分析与对策简论

发布时间：2018-03-09 14:39

本文选题：全球空间视野　切入点：经济走势及预期　出处：《浙江社会科学》2014年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：判断当前世界经济走势并预期中短期前景,须取两个视点合一的综合视野。两个视点分别为空间经济学之核心-外围视点和"两类市场经济"分野视点。预期沿海外向度较高的省域经济运行环境,须盯住三组约束条件的变化。分别为世界经济视野的省域经济开放环境、中国经济与政策大势视野的内在环境,以及困扰区域产业发展的某些突出问题及其解决出路。2013年世界经济依然延续了"后危机状态"——低增长、多麻烦、有大惊而无大险,复苏乏力但未有"二次衰退"。接下去2014年世界经济前景当略好于2013年。但全球经济仍存在一些区域性不确定因素。2013年沿海多数区域经济运行环境差强人意,2104年或将趋于改善。改善的最大希望在于落实十八届三中全会深化改革方略。后者对于沿海发达省域经济发展最大的利好,以及利用此种利好的差异,将与实践两个提法区域进程紧密关联:(1)市场在资源配置中发挥决定作用;(2)非公经济之"重要组成部分"。
[Abstract]:To judge the trend of world economy and the expected short-term prospects, to take two points of view. A comprehensive view of the two viewpoints respectively as the core - periphery "spatial economics viewpoint and two kinds of market economy", the point of view. Provincial economic operation environment expected coastal export-oriented, changes must stare at the three set of constraints respectively. The provincial economy open environment view of the world economy, the internal environment China economy and policy trend of view, as well as some problems plagued the development of regional industry and solve the world economy way.2013 is still the continuation of the "post crisis" -- low growth, much trouble, is frightened and no big risk, recovery but there is no lack of "double dip recession". Next 2014 when the world economic outlook is slightly better than 2013. But the global economy there are still some regional uncertainties.2013 most coastal regional economic operation environment difference Since 2104 or will tend to improve. The biggest hope to improve is to implement in the third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee to deepen reform strategy. The latter for the developed coastal provinces economic development the biggest positive, and the use of the difference of positive, will work closely with the practice of two terms of RELEVANCE: (1) the process of regional market play a decisive role in the allocation of resources; (2) the non-public sector of the economy "an important part.

【作者单位】：浙江大学国际经济研究所;
【分类号】：F127

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