天山北坡经济带新型城镇化与产业结构互动研究

发布时间：2018-03-18 11:18

本文选题：天山北坡经济带　切入点：新型城镇化　出处：《新疆大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：现阶段在新一轮西部大开发与19省市对口援疆的背景下,以及“一带一路”重大战略的规划与实施,为被纳入国家级城市群的天山北坡经济带开辟了新的发展空间。天山北坡经济带作为新疆国民经济发展的重要增长极以及其价值与地位的进一步凸显,围绕各经济区的功能定位,解决在推进新型城镇化建设与产业结构优化时存在的一些问题是实现新疆城乡统筹的重要渠道。基于此,本文以天山北坡经济带为例证,探讨了其新型城镇化和产业结构发展的互动关系。本文紧抓天山北坡经济带新型城镇化与产业结构发展的互动关系这一关键点,对国内外城镇化以及产业结构发展的相关文献研究进行了回顾和梳理,以历年的统计数据为依据,具体分析了天山北坡经济带城镇化进程和产业结构发展的现状和问题,并在此基础上通过格兰杰因果检验,建立VAR模型与脉冲分析就天山北坡经济带新型城镇化和产业结构发展之间的相互影响进行了研究,得出新型城镇化与三次产业产值存在双向影响关系,与三次产业就业存在单向影响关系,并且这种影响是正向持续的。接着引入协调度模型对天山北坡经济带新型城镇化系统和产业结构系统这两大系统的协调度及协调发展程度进行了评价,得出天山北坡经济带新型城镇化与产业结构的协调度及协调程度也在不断提升,但仍要保持两者间协调度的持续性从而向优质协调等级发展。最后因地制宜结合天山北坡经济带新型城镇和产业结构的自身发展特点提出了相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:At this stage, under the background of the new round of western development and the aid to Xinjiang from 19 provinces and cities, as well as the planning and implementation of "Belt and Road" 's major strategy, It has opened up a new development space for the northern slope economic belt of Tianshan Mountain, which has been incorporated into the national urban agglomeration. As an important growth pole of the national economic development of Xinjiang, the northern slope economic belt of Tianshan Mountain further highlights its value and status. It is an important channel to realize the overall planning of urban and rural areas in Xinjiang to solve some problems existing in promoting the construction of new urbanization and optimizing the industrial structure around the functional positioning of each economic zone. Based on this, this paper takes the northern slope economic belt of Tianshan Mountain as an example. This paper probes into the interactive relationship between the new urbanization and the development of the industrial structure, the key point of which is to grasp the interactive relationship between the new urbanization and the development of the industrial structure in the northern slope of Tianshan economic belt. This paper reviews and combs the literature on urbanization and industrial structure development at home and abroad, and analyzes the current situation and problems of urbanization and industrial structure development in the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain, based on the statistical data of the past years. Based on the Granger causality test, VAR model and pulse analysis are established to study the interaction between new urbanization and industrial structure development in the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain. It is concluded that the new urbanization has a bidirectional influence on the output value of the third industry and a unidirectional influence on the employment of the third industry. Then the coordination degree and the degree of coordinated development of the new urbanization system and the industrial structure system in the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain economic belt are evaluated. It is concluded that the coordination degree and coordination degree between the new urbanization and the industrial structure in the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain economic belt are also continuously improving. However, it is necessary to maintain the continuity of the coordination degree between the two and to develop to the level of high quality coordination. Finally, relevant policy suggestions are put forward according to the local conditions and the characteristics of the new towns and industrial structures in the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain.
【学位授予单位】：新疆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F121.3;F299.21

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