低碳经济发展统计理论与测度研究

发布时间：2018-03-19 20:07

本文选题：低碳经济　切入点：低碳指数　出处：《求索》2015年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：低碳经济是适应全球气候变化和能源危机而产生的一种新的经济发展方式,既符合人与自然协调发展的基本要求,更是创建资源节约型和环境友好型社会的必然选择。借鉴现有研究成果,科学界定低碳经济,按照系统、科学、可量化原则,建立低碳经济发展统计测度指标体系,应用因子分析法构建低碳经济测度综合模型,基于相对比较理念,测度我国各地区低碳经济发展水平;在此基础上,构建低碳经济简易模型,其测度结果与综合模型结果基本一致,相互验证。并选用随机森林赋权法测度模型进一步分析,构建低碳指数,直接测度各地区低碳生产总值。几种测度方法结果基本一致,测度过程简化。低碳经济发展量化指数的构建是经典统计分析方法的发展,更是一种创新。
[Abstract]:Low-carbon economy is a new way of economic development, which can adapt to the global climate change and energy crisis, and meet the basic requirements of coordinated development between man and nature. It is also an inevitable choice to create a resource-saving and environment-friendly society. Using the existing research results for reference, the paper defines the low-carbon economy scientifically, and establishes a statistical measurement index system of low-carbon economic development according to the principles of system, science and quantification. A comprehensive model of low carbon economy measurement is constructed by using factor analysis method, and the development level of low carbon economy in various regions of China is measured based on the relative comparative concept, and on this basis, a simple model of low carbon economy is constructed. The measurement results are basically consistent with those of the synthetic model, and the random forest weighting method is used to further analyze and construct a low carbon index to measure the low carbon gross product of different regions directly. The results of several measurement methods are basically the same. The construction of quantitative index of low carbon economy development is the development of classical statistical analysis method, and it is also an innovation.
【作者单位】：湖南商学院数学与统计学院;湖南省统计局;
【基金】：湖南第三次全国经济普查重点研究课题(湘经普办〔2014〕32-10) 湖南省哲学社会科学基金项目(13YBA195)
【分类号】：F124.5

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