区域碳排放空间转移特征及其经济溢出效应

发布时间：2018-03-20 01:40

本文选题：碳排放转移　切入点：经济溢出效应　出处：《中国人口.资源与环境》2014年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：准确把握区域碳排放转移的空间转移特征,明确其经济溢出效应是引导区域碳排放合理转移的基础。以中国省际区域为研究对象,以投入产出表为基础,采用碳排放系数法分别测算了中国省际区域碳排放转入总量及碳排放转出总量;通过构建基于地理特征和经济特征的空间权重矩阵,综合运用Moran’s I指数和地理加权回归模型分别研究了中国省际区域碳排放转移的空间分布特征及其经济溢出效应。研究结果表明:中国各省碳排放转移总量均较大,其中碳排放转入总量大于碳排放转出总量,东部及中部较发达地区均具有正的净转移特征;中国省际区域碳排放转入和碳排放转出的Moran’s I指数分别为0.17和0.14,表明中国省际区域碳排放转移在整体上具有一定的空间集群特征;中国省际区域碳排放转移在局部空间主要表现为L-L模式和H-H模式。其中东部及中部经济较为发达的地区表现为H-H模式,西部地区及中部欠发达地区表现为L-L模式,而中部地区则表现为L-H模式或H-L模式为主;中国省际区域碳排放转移经济溢出类型主要有五种具有区域特征的溢出模式,其中中国省际区域碳排放转入所产生的经济溢出效应要强于碳排放转出。最后,针对研究结果,分析了其产生的可能原因,并提出相应的优化对策和建议。
[Abstract]:Accurately grasp the spatial transfer characteristics of regional carbon emissions transfer, and make clear its economic spillover effect is the basis to guide regional carbon emissions transfer. Taking the inter-provincial region of China as the research object and the input-output table as the basis, The carbon emission coefficient method is used to calculate the total amount of carbon emissions transferred into and out of the provinces of China, and the spatial weight matrix based on geographical and economic characteristics is constructed. Using Moran's I index and geographical weighted regression model, the spatial distribution characteristics and economic spillover effects of regional carbon transfer between provinces in China are studied. The results show that the total amount of carbon transfer is larger in each province of China. The total amount of carbon emission transfer is larger than that of carbon emission transfer, and the eastern and central developed regions have positive net transfer characteristics. The Moran's I index of regional carbon transfer and carbon emission transfer between provinces of China are 0.17 and 0.14, respectively, which indicates that the regional carbon transfer in China has some spatial cluster characteristics. The transfer of carbon emissions between provinces in China is mainly characterized by L-L model and H-H model in local space, in which H-H model is present in the eastern and central developed regions, and L-L model in the western and underdeveloped areas. In the central region, L-H model or H-L model is dominant, and there are five regional spillover patterns of regional carbon emission transfer in China. The economic spillover effect caused by regional carbon emission transfer in China is stronger than that of carbon emission transfer. Finally, the possible causes of carbon emission transfer are analyzed, and the corresponding optimization countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.
【作者单位】：江苏大学管理学院;中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“基于产品全生命周期的企业低碳制造战略形成机制与驱动模式研究:以水泥行业为例”(编号:71273118) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“区域碳排放转移驱动机制及其对碳减排配额初始分配影响研究”(编号:13YJC630141) 教育部高校博士点基金新教师类项目“区域间商品流动和碳排放转移效应:模型与实证研究”(编号:20123227120010)
【分类号】：F124.5;X511

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