中国省域全要素生产率测度中的门限效应研究

发布时间：2018-04-05 15:01

本文选题：全要素生产率　切入点：能源消费　出处：《山西财经大学学报》2014年10期

【摘要】：利用1990~2012年的统计数据,测算了中国内地各省区的物质资本存量和异质人力资本存量。基于"索洛余值法",构建了能源和异质人力资本也作为投入变量的面板回归模型,验证了能源消费和异质人力资本因素对经济增长率单门限效应的存在。若欲提高全要素生产率(TFP)的测量精度,应该考虑门限效应的影响,能源消费的门限值是0.1508,异质人力资本的门限值是0.0110。计算了各省区1990~2012年的TFP值,并进行了TFP收敛性和门限效应分析,除西部地区外,国家整体、东部及中部都有明显的σ收敛效应。全国及三大地区均存在条件β收敛效应,只有中部地区具有绝对β收敛效应,即只有中部地区具有俱乐部收敛现象。在TFP收敛中,不存在异质人力资本的门限效应,但能源消费的门限效应是存在的。
[Abstract]:Based on the statistical data from 1990 to 2012, the physical capital stock and the heterogeneous human capital stock of the provinces and regions in the mainland of China are calculated.Based on "Solow residual value method", a panel regression model of energy and heterogeneous human capital as input variables is constructed, which verifies the existence of single threshold effect of energy consumption and heterogeneous human capital on economic growth rate.If we want to improve the measurement accuracy of TFP, we should consider the effect of threshold effect. The threshold value of energy consumption is 0.1508, and that of heterogeneous human capital is 0.0110.The TFP values of the provinces from 1990 to 2012 are calculated, and the convergence and threshold effects of TFP are analyzed. Except in the western region, there are obvious 蟽 convergence effects in the whole, eastern and central parts of the country.The conditional 尾 convergence effect exists in the whole country and the three major regions, and the absolute 尾 convergence effect is only in the central region, that is, the club convergence phenomenon exists in the central region.In TFP convergence, there is no threshold effect of heterogeneous human capital, but the threshold effect of energy consumption exists.
【作者单位】：山西财经大学管理科学与工程学院;天津大学管理学院;
【基金】：山西省高等学校哲学社会科学研究项目(PSSR,2013326) 2013年山西省高等学校131领军人才工程项目(晋教人(2013)35号) 国家软科学项目(2009GXQ6D156) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(11YJC630245) 山西省基础研究项目(2013011067-2)
【分类号】：F224;F127

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