基于凯恩斯消费函数的辽宁省城镇居民消费水平研究

发布时间：2018-04-11 14:01

本文选题：居民消费水平 + 影响因素　；参考：《辽宁大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：消费是生产活动的终极目标,也是社会生产活动的结束和开端。正因为人们拥有了提高消费水平的目标,才为其奋斗,不断地改善和发展生产力水平。以前,特别是2003年以后,为了追求GDP的增长,采取了增加投资、放宽银根等措施,这就使一段时间内保持了很高的GDP增长率,然而这样的高增长也许并不是正常的。2014年5月,习近平总书记提出了经济“新常态”,新常态,就是指不能过分的追求GDP的增长速度,要更加注重提高GDP的质量,而作为拉动GDP的最重要的“三驾马车”之一的消费,也是促进经济发展的新增长点,因此,要想让经济更好更快的发展,如何提高消费水平,改善消费结构就成了迫切和重要的新课题。本文将以辽宁省的城镇居民消费水平为研究对象,首先分析了近年来辽宁省城镇居民的消费水平的变化趋势,以及消费结构的变化趋势,并与全国平均水平以及其他省市相比较,与辽宁省内的各城市相比较;然后找出可能会影响辽宁省城镇居民消费的因素,选取代表性并且可以量化的影响因素对其进行实证分析;最后在以上的分析分析中找出辽宁省城镇居民消费水平存在的问题及原因,根据当前的经济状况和形势,提出可行性的政策建议。经过本文的研究分析发现,辽宁省作为东北三省之一的重要老工业基地,近年来的消费水平有了一定的提高,高于全国的平均水平,然而和国内其他较发达的省市相比较,还是有一定的差距;消费结构也还有待改善。究其原因,辽宁省城镇居民的思想观念比较保守,好储蓄慎消费的习惯影响了消费水平。而实证分析中又发现可支配收入对居民的消费水平的影响最大,因此,增加居民的可支配收入,增加政府和社会的保障性补贴,改善居民的传统消费观念等成为重要的举措。
[Abstract]:Consumption is the ultimate goal of production activities, but also the end and beginning of social production activities.It is precisely because people have the goal of improving consumption level that they strive to improve and develop the level of productive forces.In the past, especially after 2003, in order to pursue the growth of GDP, we took measures such as increasing investment and liberalizing money, which kept the high growth rate of GDP for some time, but this kind of high growth may not be normal. In May 2014,General Secretary Xi Jinping has put forward the "new normal" of the economy. The new normal means that we cannot excessively pursue the growth rate of GDP, pay more attention to improving the quality of GDP, and as one of the most important "troika" to pull the GDP, we should pay more attention to consumption.It is also a new growth point to promote the economic development. Therefore, how to improve the consumption level and improve the consumption structure becomes an urgent and important new topic in order to make the economy develop better and faster.In this paper, the consumption level of urban residents in Liaoning Province is taken as the research object. Firstly, the change trend of consumption level and consumption structure of urban residents in Liaoning Province in recent years are analyzed.Comparing with the national average level and other provinces and cities, and comparing with the cities in Liaoning Province, we will find out the factors that may affect the consumption of urban residents in Liaoning Province.Select representative and quantifiable influencing factors to make empirical analysis. Finally, in the above analysis, we find out the problems and reasons of the consumption level of urban residents in Liaoning Province, according to the current economic situation and situation,Put forward feasible policy recommendations.Through the research and analysis of this paper, it is found that Liaoning Province, as one of the three important old industrial bases in Northeast China, has improved its consumption level in recent years, which is higher than the national average, but compared with other more developed provinces and cities in China.There is still a certain gap; consumption structure also needs to be improved.The reason is that the ideology of urban residents in Liaoning Province is conservative, and the habit of saving and consuming carefully affects the consumption level.In the empirical analysis, it is found that disposable income has the greatest impact on the consumption level of residents. Therefore, increasing the disposable income of residents, increasing government and social subsidies and improving residents' traditional consumption concept become important measures.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F126.1

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