我国财政投资对经济增长的影响研究

发布时间：2018-04-13 10:47

本文选题：财政投资 + 经济增长　；参考：《财政部财政科学研究所》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：财政投资,又可以称为政府投资或公共投资,是各国政府将筹集的财政资金进行社会投资的公共支出活动,是社会经济活动重要的组成部分,在经济发展中扮演着重要的角色。但是关于财政投资是否能够对经济增长产生促进作用,目前理论界仍然存在较大的争议,需要作进一步的研究。本文结合我国实际情况,运用相关理论和实证研究方法简要分析我国财政投资对经济增长产生的影响。本文第二章先界定了财政投资的定义及投资范围,并在财政投资的典型特征基础上,从直接和间接的角度分析财政投资影响经济增长的机制,并结合国内外相关理论研究成果构建财政投资与经济增长指标国内生产总值之间的理论模型,作为本文实证分析的基础。第三章从实践和实证分析的角度出发,首先梳理了我国自建国以来特别是改革开放以后所出台的财政投资政策,表明我国在促进经济增长的过程中,灵活运用财政投资政策并取得了较为理想的效果,对我国取得今天的经济成果发挥了很重要的作用。然后根据财政投资与国内生产总值之间理论上的相关性,在我国1978年-2011年的数据基础上,运用ADF协整检验方法和格兰杰因果关系检验方法分析了两者之间的关系。第四章,在检验得出财政投资与国内生产总值存在线性关系的基础上,利用Eviews软件估计了两者间的简单线性回归函数,表明财政投资规模与国内生产总值之间存在定量关系,对我国合理控制投资规模,提高投资效率具有借鉴意义。在本章中还运用X低效率评价方法从定性的角度分析了我国财政投资过程中存在的低效率问题,并对可能造成其低效率的原因进行了简要分析。通过理论和实证分析,我们可以发现,我国的财政投资与经济增长之间具有较为密切的相关关系,但是就目前的财政投资现状来说,并没有发挥应有的作用,取得最好的效果,还有很多方面需要优化,如财政投资结构不够合理,需要结合我国经济的实际发展情况进行调整。因此,我国的财政投资政策还可以在经济发展中发挥更大的作用。在此结论基础上,结合我国目前的现实状况,本文提出了一些有利于优化财政投资结构、提高财政投资效率的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Financial investment, which can also be called government investment or public investment, is a public expenditure activity in which the government will raise financial funds for social investment. It is an important part of social economic activities and plays an important role in economic development.However, whether fiscal investment can promote economic growth is still controversial and needs further study.Based on the actual situation of our country, this paper briefly analyzes the impact of financial investment on economic growth by using relevant theories and empirical research methods.The second chapter defines the definition and scope of financial investment, and analyzes the mechanism of financial investment influencing economic growth directly and indirectly on the basis of the typical characteristics of financial investment.The theoretical model between financial investment and economic growth index GDP is constructed according to the relevant theoretical research results at home and abroad, which is the basis of the empirical analysis in this paper.The third chapter, from the perspective of practice and empirical analysis, firstly combs the fiscal investment policy since the founding of the people's Republic of China, especially after the reform and opening up, which indicates that China is promoting economic growth in the process.The flexible use of fiscal investment policy and the satisfactory results have played an important role in our country's economic achievements today.Then according to the theoretical correlation between financial investment and GDP, on the basis of the data from 1978 to 2011, the relationship between them is analyzed by using ADF cointegration test and Granger causality test.In chapter 4, on the basis of testing the linear relationship between fiscal investment and GDP, we estimate the simple linear regression function between the two by using Eviews software, and show that there is a quantitative relationship between the scale of fiscal investment and GDP.It has reference significance for our country to control the investment scale reasonably and improve the investment efficiency.In this chapter, the problem of low efficiency in the process of financial investment in China is analyzed qualitatively by using the method of X-inefficiency evaluation, and the possible causes of inefficiency are analyzed briefly.Through theoretical and empirical analysis, we can find that there is a close correlation between financial investment and economic growth in China, but as far as the current financial investment is concerned, it has not played its due role and achieved the best results.There are still many aspects to be optimized, for example, the structure of financial investment is not reasonable, and it needs to be adjusted according to the actual economic development of our country.Therefore, China's financial investment policy can also play a greater role in economic development.On the basis of this conclusion, combined with the current situation of our country, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions which are conducive to optimizing the structure of financial investment and improving the efficiency of financial investment.
【学位授予单位】：财政部财政科学研究所
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F812;F124.1

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