贸易开放、FDI与山东省全要素生产率增长

发布时间：2018-04-15 04:36

本文选题：全要素生产率 + 贸易开放度　；参考：《西北农林科技大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着经济一体化的加深，作为主要技术溢出渠道的国际贸易和FDI对贸易双方及FDI东道国具有重要影响。探讨贸易开放度和FDI对区域经济发展的影响大小和方向对正确引导贸易结构以投资方向，科学合理制定技术创新策略具有重要意义。山东省是我国经济大省之一，其GDP、进出口总额及FDI流入在全国具有重要的地位。改革开放以来，特别是市场改革深化后，山东省经济发展迅速，与国外交流更为密切。在与国外进行密切的交流过程中，是否提高了其经济发展水平呢？贸易开放以及FDI流入对其全要素生产率是否有显著的影响呢？研究这些问题对于正确制定贸易发展结构，正确引导FDI投资方向具有重要意义。本文综合运用经济学、国际贸易学、计量经济学、统计学等理论的知识和方法，利用DEA-Malmquist生产率指数对山东省1998-2011年17个地市的全要素生产率进行测算，同时通过构建面板数据模型分析了贸易开放度、FDI对山东省全要素生产率的影响。与此同时针对研究结论，，本文也提出了相应的对策措施。本文的主要研究结论有：（1）1998-2011年间山东省GDP、进出口贸易、FDI流入和居民收入增速较快；（2）研究期间山东省TFP呈逐渐下降趋势，其主要是技术进步率下降导致的；（3）由于经济发展水平、基础配套设施、人力资源、研发水平等因素的差异，导致进出口开放程度、FDI流入对各地市全要素生产率的影响程度和方向不同;（4）贸易依存度、出口依存度、进口依存度和FDI及其滞后变量对山东省大部分地市的全要素生产率的影响不显著，但对个别地市有促进作用也有阻碍作用。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of economic integration, international trade and FDI, as the main channels of technology spillover, have an important impact on both sides of trade and the host country of FDI.It is of great significance to discuss the influence of trade openness and FDI on the development of regional economy for guiding the trade structure to the direction of investment scientifically and rationally formulating the strategy of technological innovation.Shandong Province is one of the major economic provinces in China. Its GDP, total import and export volume and FDI inflow play an important role in the whole country.Since the reform and opening up, especially after the deepening of market reform, Shandong Province has developed rapidly and exchanged more closely with foreign countries.In the process of close communication with foreign countries, has it improved its level of economic development?Does trade liberalization and FDI inflows have a significant impact on total factor productivity?The study of these problems is of great significance for correctly formulating the structure of trade development and guiding the direction of FDI investment.Based on the knowledge and methods of economics, international trade, econometrics and statistics, this paper uses DEA-Malmquist productivity index to measure the total factor productivity of 17 cities in Shandong province from 1998 to 2011.At the same time, the panel data model is constructed to analyze the impact of FDI on the total factor productivity of Shandong province.At the same time, according to the conclusion of the study, this paper also put forward the corresponding countermeasures.The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) during the period of 1998-2011, the TFP of Shandong Province, the inflow of import and export trade and the rapid growth rate of resident income, showed a decreasing trend during the study period, which was mainly caused by the decline of technological progress rate) due to the level of economic development.The differences in infrastructure, human resources and R & D level lead to the degree of import and export openness and the impact of FDI inflow on the total factor productivity (TFP) of different cities. 4) the degree of trade dependence and the degree of export dependence.The influence of import dependence, FDI and their lag variables on the total factor productivity of most cities in Shandong Province is not significant, but it can also hinder the promotion of individual cities.
【学位授予单位】：西北农林科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F727

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