四川省市州可持续发展水平的综合评价与分析

发布时间：2018-04-19 13:43

本文选题：四川省 + 可持续发展　；参考：《西南财经大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：20世纪80年代以来,我国经济经历了飞速发展,国家综合实力和人民生活水平都得到了显著的提高,人均收入不断增长,增速居于世界前列。然而,以经济建设为中心的发展方式遭遇了越来越多的问题,在积累了大量的物质、资源财富之后,人与社会、经济、环境之间发展不和谐的情况逐渐显著,甚至阻碍了经济的发展,环境污染、资源过度开发等问题的日益严重,使人们意识到：经济上过快的发展,过度透支了未来的资源,也造成了发展的不可持续,因此需要寻求一种可以延伸至未来的发展方式——可持续发展。四川省的人口数量在全国所有省份中居第四位,属于人口大省,除了与其他省有相同的发展问题之外,还存在“人口多、底子薄、不平衡、欠发达”的独特省情,同时还面临着增强的资源环境束缚、加剧的社会矛盾等等的压力和挑战。在四川省“十二五”规划的指导思想中分别重点强调了经济、社会、环境及人口等方面的协调、可持续发展。因此,对于四川省可持续发展水平的评测就极为必要。本文首先从可持续发展的定义出发,梳理可持续发展理念的发展过程,综合国内外的理论研究,将可持续发展的范畴界定为在横向上各个子系统之间不分伯仲、协调一致,在纵向上注重未来的发展潜力培养的发展。并对已有的区域可持续发展研究进行了回顾与评述,基于评价方法多元化、子系统划分差异化以及评价指标选择多样化的情况,结合四川省基本省情,提出了本文对可持续发展研究所关注的问题。同时,本文对已有的相关研究方法进行了总结,进而结合本文对可持续发展的研究要求与方法的优劣性排序,选择了改进功效系数法作为对四川省可持续发展水平的研究方法。在此基础上,综合各方研究,本文确立了经济、社会、环境三个子系统作为对可持续发展系统的分解,又结合四川省人口众多的特殊情况,加入了人口子系统进行研究,并对各个指标及子系统进行采用了等权处理。本文将动态发展与静态比较结合研究,先对四川省总体的发展情况进行了概括,进而对各市州的可持续发展水平分别作出了评价,最后对四个子系统中各市州的表现进行了比较。通过总结评价结果发现：1、与全国先进水平相比,四川省人口、经济、社会和自然四个子系统得分及综合评价总得分都不高,且各个子系统之间也存在较为明显的差距。2、全省21个市州普遍存在系统间发展不均衡的情况。主要体现在经济与自然发展相冲突和自然发展的带动能力极为有限两个方面,即经济子系统发展领先的市州自然子系统普遍处于全省落后水平；自然子系统发展较好的市州的其他子系统发展一般较差,单纯的自然环境的良好发展无法有效带动其他子系统的发展。最后,依据四川省“十二五”规划纲要,结合评价与分析的结果,本文分别从四川省战略规划和各市州因地制宣两个维度对“十二五”规划政策的合理性进行了反思,并给出了相应的建议。本文的研究有如下价值：第一,既借鉴了已有的区域可持续发展的研究,又密切结合四川省各市州的实际情况,构建了一个新的评价指标体系；第二,采用动态与静态相结合的研究方法,并使用最新且具有代表性的2001年、2006年和2011年的数据分别对市州之间以及市州自身的发展情况作出了评价；第三,结合评价与分析的结果,本文分别从四川省战略规划和各市州因地制宜两个层次为四川省可持续发展提供了政策建议。同时,由于个人能力有限,本文也存在如下不足：第一,受到数据的可获取性和采信度的影响,在实证时仅使用了56个理论指标中的17个核心指标进行研究,无法做到最为全面、细致地评价和分析。第二,从理论上选取了改进功效系数法,且通过对可持续发展的理解而对各子系统和指标进行了等权处理,在方法选择和对指标赋权方面存在较强主观性。第三,受限于各年份统计数据指标的差异,存在部分数据缺失的情况,并且仅选择了2001年、2006年和2011年3个年份来进行评价,数据量略显不足。
[Abstract]:Since 1980s, China's economy has experienced a rapid development, the national comprehensive strength and the people's living standard have been greatly improved, the per capita income is growing and the growth rate is in the forefront of the world. However, the development mode centered on economic construction has encountered more and more problems, after accumulating a large amount of material and resource wealth, The disharmony between people and society, the economy and the environment is becoming more and more obvious, and even hinders the increasingly serious problems such as economic development, environmental pollution, and overexploitation of resources, which makes people realize that the rapid development of the economy, overoverdrawn the future resources and the unsustainable development, therefore, need to seek a kind of possibility. The way of development that extends to the future is sustainable development.
The population of Sichuan province is fourth in all provinces and is a large province of population. In addition to the same development problems as other provinces, there is a unique situation of "large population, thin, unbalanced and underdeveloped". At the same time, it also faces the pressure and challenge of strengthening the binding of resources and environment, aggravating social contradictions and so on. In four The guiding ideology of the "12th Five-Year" plan of Sichuan province emphasizes the coordination and sustainable development of the economy, society, environment and population respectively. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate the sustainable development level of Sichuan province.
This paper begins with the definition of sustainable development, combs the development process of the concept of sustainable development, and combines the theoretical research at home and abroad, defines the category of sustainable development as the development of the development of the potential development potential in the vertical, and the existing areas can be held. The research on the continued development is reviewed and reviewed. Based on the diversification of evaluation methods, the differentiation of subsystems and the diversification of evaluation indexes, combined with the basic situation of Sichuan Province, this paper puts forward the problems concerned with the research of sustainable development. At the same time, this paper summarizes the existing research methods and then combines this paper. In order to study the requirements and methods of sustainable development, we choose the improved efficiency coefficient method as the research method of sustainable development level in Sichuan province.
On this basis, comprehensive research, this article established the economic, social, environmental three subsystems as the decomposition of the sustainable development system, and combined with the special situation of the population in Sichuan Province, the population subsystem is added to the research, and the various indicators and subsystems are taken equal rights treatment. This paper will dynamic development and static ratio. Compared with the combined study, the overall development of Sichuan province was summarized, and then the sustainable development level of each city and state was evaluated respectively. Finally, the performance of each city and state in the four sub-systems was compared. The results of the evaluation were summarized as follows: 1, compared with the national advanced leveling, the population, economy, society and nature of Sichuan province were four. The total score of sub-system score and comprehensive evaluation is not high, and there is a clear gap between the subsystems of each subsystem.2. The 21 cities and states in the province generally exist the unbalanced development of the system. It is mainly reflected in the two aspects of the conflict between the economic and natural development and the driving ability of natural development, that is, the development of the economic subsystem. First, the natural subsystems of the city and state are generally in the backward level of the whole province; the other subsystems of the prefectures and states with better natural subsystems are generally poor, and the good development of the simple natural environment can not effectively drive the development of other subsystems.
Finally, according to the plan of "12th Five-Year" in Sichuan province and the results of evaluation and analysis, this paper rethinks the rationality of the "12th Five-Year" planning policy from the two dimensions of Sichuan province's strategic planning and the various cities and prefectures, and gives the corresponding suggestions.
The study of this article is of the following value:
First, drawing on the existing research on regional sustainable development, and combining closely with the actual situation of various cities and prefectures in Sichuan Province, a new evaluation index system has been constructed.
Second, using dynamic and static research methods, and using the latest and representative 2001, 2006 and 2011 data, respectively, to evaluate the development of the city and the city itself.
Third, combined with the results of evaluation and analysis, this paper provides policy proposals for the sustainable development of Sichuan province from the strategic planning of Sichuan province and the two levels of local conditions and local conditions.
At the same time, due to the limited personal ability, there are also the following deficiencies:
First, it is affected by the availability and reliability of the data. In the case of empirical study, only 17 of the 56 core indicators are used to study, and the most comprehensive and detailed evaluation and analysis can not be achieved.
Second, we choose the method of improving the efficiency coefficient in theory, and deal with each subsystem and index through the understanding of the sustainable development, and there is a strong subjectivity in the selection of methods and the empowerment of the index.
Third, limited to the differences in the annual statistical data, there are some missing data, and only selected the 3 years in 2001, 2006 and 2011 to evaluate the data, the amount of data is slightly insufficient.

【学位授予单位】：西南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F224

【参考文献】