经济增长速度与产业结构关系研究——对中国不同区域经济增长速度趋势性变化的分析

发布时间：2018-04-24 04:38

本文选题：产业结构 + 经济增长　；参考：《中山大学学报(社会科学版)》2014年02期

【摘要】：多数经济体的经济增长速度随第二产业比重下降和第三产业比重上升而下降,在收入水平较高、人口规模较大的经济体中,经济增长速度与产业结构的这一关系几乎普遍成立。通过一个简单的两部门经济模型,证明了在第二产业比重下降、第三产业比重上升及第二产业劳动生产率高于第三产业劳动生产率的前提下,由于就业从第二产业向第三产业的转移,经济增长速度和产业结构之间的这一关系是成立的。收入水平和人口规模会对这一关系产生影响,从而产生一些例外的情况。在对经济增长速度和产业结构关系认识的基础上,说明了中国东部地区近年经济增长速度落后于中国其他地区可能是由于其进入了第二产业比重下降、第三产业比重上升的工业化后期发展阶段造成的;东部地区经济增长速度的下降意味着中国经济增长进入一个相对平缓的阶段。在这一发展阶段,产业结构的优化和产业空间布局的优化应紧密结合,经济发展水平不同地区的经济发展方式转变不应采取相同的产业结构调整路径。
[Abstract]:The economic growth rate of most economies decreases with the decline of the proportion of the secondary industry and the increase of the proportion of the tertiary industry. In the economies with higher income level and larger population size, the relationship between the economic growth rate and the industrial structure is almost universal. Through a simple two-sector economic model, it is proved that under the premise that the proportion of the secondary industry decreases, the proportion of the tertiary industry increases and the labor productivity of the second industry is higher than that of the third industry, Due to the transfer of employment from the secondary industry to the tertiary industry, the relationship between the economic growth rate and the industrial structure is established. Income levels and population size can have an impact on this relationship, with some exceptions. Based on the understanding of the relationship between the economic growth rate and the industrial structure, it is shown that the economic growth rate in eastern China has lagged behind that in other regions of China in recent years, possibly because of the decline in the proportion of economic growth into the secondary industry. The decline of the economic growth rate in the eastern region means that China's economic growth has entered a relatively slow stage. In this stage of development, the optimization of industrial structure and the optimization of industrial spatial distribution should be closely combined, and the transformation of the mode of economic development in different areas with different levels of economic development should not take the same path of industrial structure adjustment.
【作者单位】：华南师范大学华南市场经济研究中心;华南师范大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目“新型城市化背景下的产业结构优化升级研究”(12AZD025) 华南市场经济研究中心资助项目“珠江三角洲产业升级的机制与对策:企业技术选择路径的视角”(HNJJ2013A05)
【分类号】：F124.1;F269.24;F121.3

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