经济发展水平与外贸外资的经济增长效应分析

发布时间：2018-04-30 04:13

本文选题：外贸 + 外资　；参考：《浙江工业大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着全球一体化进程的加快,大大加深了各国间经济领域的互相往来与交流,外贸和外资也日益呈现自由化和全球化的趋势,已成为推动经济增长的重要推力。然后,随着经济发展水平变化,外贸外资这两种国际化推动方式对经济增长效应的变化更加具有重要的现实意义。本文根据经济发展水平差异,将我国划分为东部、中部和西部地区。首先回顾了外贸与经济增长关系理论、外资与经济增长关系理论、外贸外资组合与经济增长关系理论、经济增长与产业结构关系；其次从理论机制上分析了外贸外资是通过何种渠道来促进经济的增长,在不同经济发展水平和产业结构水平,出口、进口和外商直接投对经济增长效应的强弱是如何进行变化的；然后分别从总体和区域发展角度定性和定量分析了外贸外资、经济发展水平、产业结构现状。最后,按照加入世贸组织为临界点,将东部、中部和西部划分成不同的两个经济发展阶段和产业结构发展阶段,来研究各个区域经济发展变化和产业结构演进使得国际化推动因素对经济增长效应的变化情况,并论证经济发展水平提高是否基于产业结构的演进。实证结果表明,在不同经济发展水平下,发达东部地区出口的经济促进效应最大,但是对经济的推动作用在减弱；相对落后的中西部地区进口的经济增长效应比东部地区更大,而且进口的推动作用在增强；FDI的流入对三大地区经济增长作用都在增强。基本符合理论预期；在不同产业结构发展水平下,东部地区出口作用减弱,进口作用开始增强；中部地区出口对经济促进作用变得显著,进口作用增强;西部地区出口对经济促进作用增强,进口作用有上升；外资的流入除了中部地区对经济增长作用有略微下降,对东部和西部的经济增长效应都在增强,其结果基本符合理论预期,也同经济发展水平差异下,各经济增长要素变化趋势相似。最后,根据实证结果及描述性分析结论,我国外贸外资的政策组合也应该随经济发展而调整,以此对今后外贸外资的发展提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of the process of global integration, the economic exchanges and exchanges between countries have been greatly deepened, and foreign trade and foreign investment have increasingly shown the trend of liberalization and globalization, which has become an important thrust to promote economic growth. Then, with the change of the level of economic development, the two modes of promoting foreign trade and foreign investment play an important role in the change of economic growth effect. According to the difference of economic development level, this paper divides our country into eastern, central and western regions. Firstly, it reviews the theory of the relationship between foreign trade and economic growth, the relationship between foreign capital and economic growth, the combination of foreign trade and economic growth, and the relationship between economic growth and industrial structure. Secondly, from the theoretical mechanism, it analyzes the channels through which foreign trade and foreign investment promote economic growth, export at different levels of economic development and industrial structure. How to change the effect of import and foreign direct investment on economic growth, and then qualitatively and quantitatively analyze foreign investment, economic development level and industrial structure from the perspective of overall and regional development. Finally, according to the entry into the WTO as a critical point, the eastern, central and western regions are divided into two stages of economic development and industrial structure development. To study the changes of economic development and industrial structure evolution in various regions, and to demonstrate whether the improvement of economic development level is based on the evolution of industrial structure. The empirical results show that, under different economic development levels, the economic promotion effect of export in the developed eastern region is the largest, but the economic promotion effect is weakening, and the economic growth effect of import in the relatively backward central and western regions is greater than that in the eastern region. Moreover, the impact of import on the economic growth of the three regions is enhanced. Under the different industrial structure development level, the eastern region's export function weakens, the import function begins to strengthen, the central region export's function to the economy becomes remarkable, the import function strengthens; In the western region, the role of exports in promoting the economy has increased, while the role of imports has increased. Except for the central region, the inflow of foreign capital has a slight decline in the role of economic growth, and the effect on economic growth in the eastern and western regions is increasing. The result basically accords with the theory expectation and the trend of the change of the factors of economic growth is similar with the difference of the economic development level. Finally, according to the empirical results and descriptive analysis conclusions, the policy combination of foreign trade and foreign investment should be adjusted with the economic development in order to put forward policy recommendations for the development of foreign trade and foreign investment in the future.
【学位授予单位】：浙江工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752;F124

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