河北省碳排放的经济成本核算研究

发布时间：2018-05-15 00:35

本文选题：碳排放 + 经济成本　；参考：《燕山大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：近些年，河北省在大力发展经济的同时环境问题也越来越严重，碳排放量不断增长已严重影响人们的健康生活。如何以最小的碳排放经济成本和环境污染实现碳减排目标是最迫切需要解决的问题。河北省碳排放经济成本的核算研究分以下几个方面进行：首先，根据碳排放量计算二氧化碳排放量；然后计算固碳所需的土地面积；进而核算河北省的碳排放经济成本；再对河北省的碳排放影响因素进行灰色关联分析，根据灰色预测理论和回归分析法，对河北省2011-2020年的碳排放量进行预测；在此基础上提出政策建议。首先，对碳排放成本理论的阐述，主要包括碳排放的研究背景、研究意义，，以及国内外碳排放经济成本的研究现状。介绍了碳排放经济成本的概念、机会成本的概念以及生态足迹的概念、碳排放经济核算的几种方法、核算碳排放经济成本的迫切性和必要性。其次，对河北省的能源消费量情况进行分析；根据煤炭、石油、天然气三种主要化石能源的消费量情况以及各类能源的碳排放系数核算碳排放量；利用生态足迹的方法，从机会成本的角度，计算固碳所需的土地面积；根据假设的土地用途计算所带来的机会成本,进而核算河北省的碳排放经济成本；在分析结果的参考下提出了河北省碳排放存在的问题以及不足。然后，利用灰色关联方法对河北省碳排放的影响因素之间的关联度进行了计算，结合其关联度分析了河北省未来碳减排应该努力的方向，并在借鉴已有的成本计算方法基础上提出了碳排放经济成本的核算方法。最后，依据“十二五”规划中河北省经济以7%的速度增长,根据灰色预测理论和回归分析法，对河北省2011-2020年的碳排放量进行预测；在此基础上针对河北省的实际情况对治理和减少碳排放提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the environmental problems in Hebei Province are becoming more and more serious while the economy is developing vigorously. The increasing of carbon emissions has seriously affected people's healthy life. How to achieve the target of carbon emission reduction with minimum economic cost of carbon emissions and environmental pollution is the most urgent problem to be solved. The study on the economic cost of carbon emissions in Hebei Province can be divided into the following aspects: first, calculate the carbon dioxide emissions according to the carbon emissions; then calculate the land area required for carbon sequestration; and then calculate the economic cost of carbon emissions in Hebei Province; Based on the grey correlation analysis of the influencing factors of carbon emissions in Hebei Province, the paper forecasts the carbon emissions of Hebei Province from 2011 to 2020 according to the theory of grey prediction and regression analysis, and puts forward some policy recommendations. First of all, the cost of carbon emissions theory, mainly including the background of carbon emissions, research significance, as well as domestic and foreign economic cost of carbon emissions research status. This paper introduces the concept of economic cost of carbon emissions, the concept of opportunity cost and the concept of ecological footprint, several methods of economic accounting of carbon emissions, and the urgency and necessity of calculating the economic cost of carbon emissions. Secondly, the energy consumption of Hebei Province is analyzed. According to the consumption of coal, oil and natural gas and the carbon emission coefficient of all kinds of energy, the method of using ecological footprint is used to calculate the carbon emissions. From the angle of opportunity cost, the land area needed for carbon sequestration is calculated, and the opportunity cost brought by the assumed land use is calculated to calculate the economic cost of carbon emission in Hebei Province. The problems and shortcomings of carbon emissions in Hebei Province are put forward based on the analysis results. Then, the grey correlation method is used to calculate the correlation degree between the influencing factors of carbon emissions in Hebei Province, and the direction of future carbon emission reduction in Hebei Province is analyzed. Based on the existing cost calculation methods, the economic cost accounting method of carbon emissions is put forward. Finally, according to the economic growth rate of 7% in the 12th Five-Year Plan, according to the grey forecast theory and regression analysis method, the carbon emissions of Hebei Province from 2011-2020 are forecasted. On the basis of this, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions on the management and reduction of carbon emissions in view of the actual situation in Hebei Province.
【学位授予单位】：燕山大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F205

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