中国产能过剩的根本成因与出路:非市场因素及其三步走战略
发布时间:2018-05-31 14:18
本文选题:产能过剩 + 产能过剩成因 ; 参考:《改革》2014年02期
【摘要】:从产业政策评价的角度,在廓清产能过剩本质与分类的基础上,通过研究主要国家产能利用率与经济增长率之间横向与纵向的一般规律,提出并剖析我国的"二率剪刀差"现象与成因,进而得出"我国产能过剩的根本成因是非市场因素"的基本结论。解决产能过剩可采取"二率协调"三步走战略,即短期转变70%产能利用率/8%经济增长率组合;中期达到75%产能利用率/7%经济增长率组合;长期实现80%产能利用率/5%经济增长率组合。在产业政策和改革方面,产业政策应让位于竞争政策,针对不同行业分别采取"简政放权、放松规制、改进规制"的"十二字方针"改革思路。
[Abstract]:From the perspective of industrial policy evaluation, on the basis of clarifying the nature and classification of overcapacity, the paper studies the horizontal and vertical general laws between the utilization ratio of capacity and economic growth rate in major countries. This paper puts forward and analyzes the phenomenon and causes of "two-rate scissors difference" in China, and then draws the basic conclusion that "the fundamental cause of overcapacity in China is non-market factor". To solve overcapacity, we can adopt "two rate coordination" three-step strategy, that is, short-term transformation of 70% productivity utilization ratio / 8% economic growth rate portfolio, medium term production capacity utilization ratio of 75% / 7% economic growth rate portfolio; Long-term achievement of 80% capacity utilization ratio and 5% economic growth rate. In the aspect of industrial policy and reform, the industrial policy should give way to competition policy, and take the "12-character policy" reform thought of "simplify government power, relax regulation and improve regulation" in view of different industries.
【作者单位】: 天津财经大学法律经济分析与政策评价中心;
【基金】:天津财经大学法律经济分析与政策评价中心2013年重点研究项目。参加研究讨论和数据整理的成员还有冯博、刘玉斌、徐志伟、毕晓方、王sァ⒗钤蠡⒘醯Φ,
本文编号:1960044
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