劳动力转移视角下的城乡收入差距倒U曲线研究

发布时间：2018-06-13 05:22

本文选题：劳动力转移 + 城乡收入差距　；参考：《浙江大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着经济的发展,我国城乡居民不同程度地享受了中国经济高速发展所带来的成果,但是贫富差距扩大,收入分配状况恶化引起了社会的广泛关注。特别地,改革开放以来,随着劳动力从农村转向城市,城乡居民收入差距在震荡中逐步扩大。城乡居民收入差距是否会持续扩大,是否会如库兹涅茨倒U假说出现下降的趋势,劳动力转移对其影响和意义如何?本文基于以上思考,以劳动力转移为视角研究了城乡收入差距的变动轨迹,并在此基础上分析了劳动力转移影响城乡收入差距的渠道,并试图分析其背后的演变原因以期得出有益的政策措施。本文以库兹涅茨倒U理论、刘易斯二元经济理论以及人力资本作为研究的理论基础；对城乡劳动力和城乡收入差距的演变进行一般的动态分析,首先构建理论模型,通过对理论分析的测算发现城乡收入差距虽然在震荡的N型中波动上升,但呈现库兹涅茨倒U型变动的趋势,测算的结果显示随着劳动力的转移城乡收入差距是一条N型+倒U型的曲线。其次,建立时间个体固定效应实证模型,进一步证实了倒U理论在城乡收入差距变动趋势中成立。再次,基于以上的理论分析,数据测算和实证模型,从二元经济和人力资本两个内外因维度深入分析了劳动力转移对城乡收入差距的影响以及背后的机理。最终得出了有利于促进劳动力进一步从农村合理有序流向城镇以缩小城乡收入差距的政策建议。本文从尽可能多的角度去检验和说明所研究的对象。结合了理论和数据,横向和纵向,静态和动态等的分析方法,并结合实证分析与规范分析,以Eviews7.2、 Stata等现代计量分析软件为辅助研究工具,以城乡劳动力转移为切入点,围绕城乡居民收入差距的变动逐步展开研究。
[Abstract]:With the development of economy, the urban and rural residents in our country enjoy the results of the rapid economic development of China in varying degrees. However, the gap between the rich and the poor has expanded, and the deterioration of the income distribution has aroused widespread concern. Whether the income gap between urban and rural residents will continue to expand, is it like the trend of the decline of Kuznets's inverted U hypothesis and the influence and significance of labor transfer? Based on the above thinking, this paper studies the change track of the income gap between urban and rural areas and analyzes the influence of labor transfer on urban and rural areas on the basis of labor transfer. The channel of income gap, and trying to analyze the reasons behind it, in order to draw useful policy measures.
This paper is based on Kuznets's inverted U theory, Lewis's two yuan economic theory and human capital as the theoretical basis for the study. A general dynamic analysis is made on the evolution of the urban-rural labor force and the income gap between urban and rural areas. First, the theoretical model is constructed, and the income gap in urban and rural areas fluctuates in the oscillating N type through the calculation of the theoretical analysis. However, the trend of Kuznets inverted U change shows that the income gap between urban and rural areas is a N + inverted U type curve with the transfer of labor force. Secondly, an empirical model of time individual fixation effect is established, which further confirms that the inverted U theory is established in the trend of the change of income gap between urban and rural areas. According to the calculation and empirical model, this paper analyzes the influence of labor transfer on the income gap between urban and rural areas and the mechanism behind the two factors of internal and external factors of two yuan economy and human capital, and finally draws the policy suggestions for promoting the further flow of labor from rural areas to towns and towns in order to reduce the income gap in urban and rural areas.
In this paper, we examine and explain the objects studied from the most possible angles, combining the analysis methods of theory and data, horizontal and vertical, static and dynamic, combined with empirical analysis and normative analysis, using modern econometric analysis software such as Eviews7.2 and Stata as auxiliary research tools, taking the transfer of urban and rural labor as the breakthrough point and surrounding urban and rural residence. The changes in the income gap of the people are gradually studied.
【学位授予单位】：浙江大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.7;F249.21;F224

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