广西城市化与经济增长的相互影响研究

发布时间：2018-06-14 08:51

本文选题：广西 + 城市化　；参考：《广西师范大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：为促进我国西部地区的经济发展,1999年,江泽民总书记提出西部大开发战略计划,该政策也于第二年正式投入运行。广西是西部十二省之一,也是西部大开发战略重点扶持的一个省份。自该战略在广西成功落实,广西的经济实力和城市发展确实得到了明显改善,但仍落后于我国平均水平,同时,广西也是我国发展最落后的一个沿海省份,这种现状主要是我区产业结构不合理,工业驱动力量不足,服务业发展滞后以及没有辐射能力强的大城市存在造成的。因此,广西要想摆脱经济落后的局面并成为一个经济发达的沿海省份,寻求经济增长和城市化的协调发展便成了当务之急。城市化是伴随着经济增长产生的,并且制约着当地经济的发展,同时城市化水平的高低也已开始用来评价一个城市的实力和等级。现如今,城市化的发展已开始被越来越多的人所关注,相关学者也试图探究城市化与经济增长之间更深层次的关系,国家和当地政府也开始加大城市建设的投资力度。西部大开发战略的实施给广西提供了发展机遇,区域临海给广西提供了天然优势,因此,在这样一个时代背景和现实意义相结合的情况下探究广西城市化与经济增长之间的相互影响关系以及发展规律,对于推动城市化进程和促进经济高速发展具有重要的学术价值和实践意义。通过对相关文献的研究,本文以城市化和经济增长的相关理论为研究基础,总结了城市化与经济增长的互相作用机制,即经济结构的非农化促进城市化水平的提高,同时,城市通过聚集效应和扩散效应刺激经济增长。本文立足于广西城市化进程与经济增长的实情,以西部大开发战略的提出与运行为研究背景,选用广西1994-2003年的时间序列数据,选用VAR模型对广西城市化与经济增长的动态效应展开分析,试图在对广西城市化与经济增长关系进行定量和定性分析基础上,探讨出适合且能够有力推动广西城市化和经济发展的健康之路。研究结果表明,随着西部大开发战略的成功实施,广西的城市化发展和经济水平都有了明显提高,尤其是战略运行的后期比较明显。从实证分析的结构来看,广西的城市化与经济增长之间有着长期稳定的动态均衡关系,经济增长显著的促进了城市化水平的提高,但是在长期,城市化水平的提高对促进经济增长的作用却不是很明显。最后,文章根据实证检验的结果,并结合相应理论,总结了影响广西城市化和经济增长的原因,并结合广西当前的实情和发展状况,给出了合理推进城市化发展和有力促进经济增长的政策建议,也希望可以为其他西部省份的发展提供借鉴。
[Abstract]:In order to promote the economic development of the western region of our country, in 1999, General Secretary of Jiang Zemin put forward the strategic plan of western development, and the policy was put into operation in the second year. Guangxi is one of the 12 western provinces, and also a province supported by the western development strategy. Since the successful implementation of the strategy in Guangxi, Guangxi's economic strength and urban development have indeed improved significantly, but still lag behind the average level of our country. At the same time, Guangxi is also one of the most backward coastal provinces in China. This situation is mainly caused by the unreasonable industrial structure, the lack of industrial driving force, the lagging development of service industry and the existence of large cities without strong radiation capacity. Therefore, if Guangxi wants to get rid of the situation of economic backwardness and become an economically developed coastal province, it is urgent to seek the coordinated development of economic growth and urbanization. Urbanization is accompanied by economic growth and restricts the development of local economy. At the same time, the level of urbanization has been used to evaluate the strength and level of a city. Nowadays, the development of urbanization has been concerned by more and more people, scholars have also tried to explore the deeper relationship between urbanization and economic growth, and national and local governments have also begun to increase investment in urban construction. The implementation of the strategy of developing the western region has provided Guangxi with an opportunity for development, and the regional sea front has provided Guangxi with a natural advantage. Under the circumstances of combining the background of the times with the practical significance, this paper probes into the interaction and development law between urbanization and economic growth in Guangxi. It is of great academic value and practical significance for promoting the process of urbanization and promoting the rapid development of economy. Based on the related theories of urbanization and economic growth, this paper summarizes the interaction mechanism of urbanization and economic growth, that is, the non-agricultural structure of economic structure promotes the improvement of urbanization level, at the same time, Cities stimulate economic growth through aggregation and diffusion effects. Based on the reality of urbanization and economic growth in Guangxi, this paper chooses the time series data of Guangxi from 1994 to 2003, based on the background of putting forward and running the strategy of western development. Using VAR model to analyze the dynamic effects of urbanization and economic growth in Guangxi, the author tries to analyze the relationship between urbanization and economic growth in Guangxi quantitatively and qualitatively. To explore the appropriate and able to promote the urbanization and economic development of Guangxi healthy road. The results show that with the successful implementation of the western development strategy, the urbanization development and economic level of Guangxi have been obviously improved, especially in the late stage of strategic operation. From the structure of empirical analysis, there is a long-term stable dynamic equilibrium relationship between urbanization and economic growth in Guangxi. Economic growth significantly promotes the improvement of urbanization level, but in the long run, The effect of urbanization on promoting economic growth is not obvious. Finally, according to the results of empirical test, combined with the corresponding theory, the paper summarizes the reasons that affect the urbanization and economic growth of Guangxi, and combines the current situation and development of Guangxi. Some policy suggestions on how to promote the development of urbanization and economic growth are given, and it is also hoped that it can be used as a reference for the development of other western provinces.
【学位授予单位】：广西师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F299.27;F127

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