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我国公共支出结构经济增长效应的区域差异研究

发布时间:2018-06-20 21:26

  本文选题:公共支出结构 + 因子分析 ; 参考:《上海师范大学》2013年硕士论文


【摘要】:近年来,随着我国财政体制改革的不断加快,财政体制逐渐由高度集中向分散的地方决策转变。地方政府先前作为中央代理人也逐渐转变成为具有相当自主权的决策主体。公共支出作为地方政府促进经济发展而采用的重要手段,,研究它的结构及对经济增长效应都显得尤为重要。 另一方面,我国地区经济发展差距较大,各地区社会文化、资源禀赋、体制结构等都具有明显的差异,各地区公共支出结构及经济增长效应也都不尽相同。因此分类研究各地区公共支出结构的经济增长效应对指导各地区发展经济有重要的作用。本文希望在前人研究理论的基础上,结合我国当前的新情况做一些有益的研究并得出切合实际的研究成果。 2007年1月1日起,我国正式实施政府收支分类改革,我国财政收支分类开始采用国际通行的做法。本文就是在这样的形势下研究我国收支分类改革以来的公共支出结构经济增长效应的区域差异。首先是理论部分:通过对相关文献的梳理和分析,对当前相关的研究有了新的认识。文献综述对相关理论的回顾为本文的研究提供了理论和实践的支持,为本文的创新找到了突破点。再次是实证部分:首先在新的支出分类的基础上,收集了收支分类改革以来的最新数据,进行因子分析并根据因子得分的加权平均得到各地区的综合评价指标。其次是在得到各地区公共支出因子综合评价指标的基础上,结合各地区的经济增长指标对我国31个省市进行了聚类分析,将我国分为三类区域。最后在前两步的基础上,实证研究我国公共支出结构经济增长效应的区域差异。实证部分包含三个步骤,这三个步骤相辅相成:因子分析为后面的聚类提供了依据,也为后面解决回归模型变量的多重共线性问题做了铺垫。聚类为研究区域差异打下了基础,聚类得到的区域内样本数据也使得回归方程更加显著。 本文的研究具有一定的理论和实践意义。撇开传统的区域划分,针对支出结构和经济增长进行新的区域聚类。在研究公共支出结构经济增长效应区域差异时,基于聚类得到的新的区域划分有很重要的意义。这样就能够得到针对性更强的结论,在具体指导实践时的可操作性也更强。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid reform of our financial system, the financial system has gradually changed from highly centralized to decentralized local decision-making. As a central agent, the local government has gradually changed into a decision-making body with considerable autonomy. As an important means for local governments to promote economic development, it is particularly important to study the structure of public expenditure and its effect on economic growth. On the other hand, there is a big gap in regional economic development in China. The social culture, resource endowment and institutional structure of different regions are obviously different, and the structure of public expenditure and the effect of economic growth are also different in different regions. Therefore, studying the economic growth effect of public expenditure structure in different regions plays an important role in guiding regional economic development. This paper hopes to do some useful research on the basis of the previous research theories and combine with the current situation of our country and get some practical research results. From January 1, 2007, the government revenue and expenditure classification reform will be formally implemented in our country. Our country finance income and expenditure classification begins to adopt the international common practice. This paper studies the regional differences of economic growth effects of public expenditure structure since the reform of revenue and expenditure classification in China. The first part is the theory part: through combing and analyzing the related literature, we have a new understanding of the current related research. The literature review provides theoretical and practical support for the research of this paper and provides a breakthrough point for the innovation of this paper. The third part is the empirical part: firstly, on the basis of the new expenditure classification, this paper collects the latest data from the reform of income and expenditure classification, carries on the factor analysis and obtains the comprehensive evaluation index of each region according to the weighted average of the factor score. Secondly, on the basis of obtaining the comprehensive evaluation index of the public expenditure factor of each region, combining with the economic growth index of each region, this paper carries on the cluster analysis to 31 provinces and cities of our country, and divides our country into three kinds of regions. Finally, on the basis of the first two steps, this paper empirically studies the regional differences of the economic growth effect of public expenditure structure in China. The empirical part consists of three steps, which complement each other: factor analysis provides the basis for the subsequent clustering, and also provides the basis for solving the multiple collinear problems of regression model variables. Clustering lays a foundation for the study of regional differences, and the regression equation is more significant because of the sample data in the region. The research of this paper has certain theoretical and practical significance. Aside from the traditional regional division, new regional clustering is carried out for expenditure structure and economic growth. In studying the regional differences of the economic growth effect of public expenditure structure, the new regional division based on clustering is of great significance. In this way, we can get more pertinence conclusion and more maneuverability when guiding practice.
【学位授予单位】:上海师范大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F812.45;F124.1

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