中国在中东进行石油投资贸易的政治风险及规避研究

发布时间：2018-06-22 03:14

本文选题：中国 + 中东　；参考：《武汉工程大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国经济的迅猛发展,工业化进程的不断深入,我国对能源,特别是石油资源的需求量持续扩大。2003年,中国在世界石油消费国排行中紧随美国跃升到第二位。“富煤少油”的国内能源结构致使我国石油严重依赖进口,预计2013年底我国石油对外依赖程度将达到60%。作为世界石油产量最大,且已探明出的石油产量最为丰富的中东地区,是中国海外石油的主要来源地之一,也是中国顺利实施“走出去”的能源战略的重要战场,而中东复杂多变的政治局势使中国能源安全面临多重风险,尤其是政治风险。这不仅影响中国能源战略的成功实施,甚至损害中国与中东既有的合作格局。除绪论部分外,本文从三个部分展开研究。从第二章的开始是对问题的提出,它作为论文的研究基础,主要从三方面入手,阐述中东石油对中国能源安全的战略意义。首先,通过引入中东石油资源概况,突出了中东的重要地缘地位;其次,通过对中国国内石油供求状况的量化分析,得出中国需要中东的石油供应;第三,分析美国、日本和欧盟分别博弈中东地区石油资源的态势以及三者之间的博弈对中国未来的能源安全造成的影响。第二部分即第三章,这部分是对第二章提出的问题展开分析。主要探讨的是中国在中东进行石油投资贸易存在的政治风险种类,首先对政治风险作出明确的界定后,对可能存在的政治风险进行概括,主要包括中东动荡的政局和政治纷争、中东不连续的政策法规、第三方国家的干预与竞争、军事冲突与局部战争以及恐怖势力活动猖狂与民族间的冲突。分析当今中东的战争与和平态势,有助于我们同中东国家开展良好的能源外交。第四章作为论文的最后部分,是论文研究的最终目的,是对提出的问题在经过详细分析之后的解决问题的对策。本章通过对美国和日本在开展石油对外投资贸易时,对两国规避风险的措施及经验进行研究,为我国在中东进行石油投资贸易活动中有效规避政治风险提供借鉴,以期为中国成功实施“走出去”的能源发展战略和维护国家石油安全提供理论依据和决策参考。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's economy and the deepening of industrialization, the demand for energy, especially oil resources, in our country continues to expand. In 2003, China jumped to the second place in the ranking of the world oil consuming countries. The domestic energy structure of "rich in coal and less oil" causes our country to rely heavily on the import of petroleum, and it is expected that the degree of external dependence of our country will reach 60% by the end of 2013. As the Middle East region with the largest oil output in the world and the most proven oil production, it is one of the main sources of China's overseas oil, and is also an important battlefield for China to smoothly implement its "going global" energy strategy. China's energy security faces many risks, especially political risks, due to the complex and changeable political situation in the Middle East. This not only affects the successful implementation of China's energy strategy, but also damages the existing pattern of cooperation between China and the Middle East. In addition to the introduction, this paper from the three parts of the study. From the beginning of the second chapter, the paper puts forward the question, as the research foundation of this paper, it mainly expounds the strategic significance of Middle East oil to China's energy security from three aspects. First, by introducing the oil resources profile of the Middle East, it highlights the important geographical position of the Middle East; secondly, through the quantitative analysis of China's domestic oil supply and demand, it is concluded that China needs the oil supply of the Middle East; third, the United States is analyzed. Japan and the European Union respectively play games on the situation of oil resources in the Middle East and the influence of the game between the three on China's future energy security. The second part is the third chapter, which is the analysis of the second chapter. What is mainly discussed is the types of political risks that exist in China's oil investment trade in the Middle East. First, after making a clear definition of political risks, the political risks that may exist are summarized, mainly including the volatile political situation and political disputes in the Middle East. Discontinuous policies and regulations in the Middle East, interference and competition of third countries, military conflicts and local wars, and rampant terrorist activities and ethnic conflicts. The analysis of the current situation of war and peace in the Middle East will help us to develop good energy diplomacy with the Middle East countries. Chapter four, as the last part of the thesis, is the ultimate purpose of the paper, and the solution to the problem after detailed analysis. This chapter studies the risk avoidance measures and experiences of the United States and Japan in carrying out oil outward investment trade, and provides a reference for our country to effectively avoid political risks in petroleum investment and trade activities in the Middle East. The aim is to provide theoretical basis and decision reference for China's successful implementation of "going out" strategy of energy development and maintenance of national oil security.
【学位授予单位】：武汉工程大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F125;F426.22

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