江西省城镇居民消费状况实证研究

发布时间：2018-06-22 03:30

本文选题：消费函数 + 消费结构　；参考：《江西财经大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：消费是拉动一个国家或地区经济增长的根本动力,居民的消费状况直接关系着消费的好坏,对消费有着巨大的影响,是影响消费的内部因素。城镇居民的消费对整个社会的经济稳定增长起着关键性作用,其消费行为的变化直接影响市场供求变化。另外,城镇经济在我国经济中占有主导地位,其发展水平将直接影响我国经济发展速度,对于江西省更是如此。因此,有必要对当前江西省城镇居民的消费状况进行深入研究。本文运用相关数据,从两个方面研究江西省城镇居民消费状况。第一个方面是利用消费函数模型研究城镇居民消费行为,采用的函数模型是绝对收入消费函数模型、相对收入消费函数模型、持久收入消费函数模型和误差修正模型。得到的结论是七个收入等级城镇居民的消费水平基本满足绝对收入假说;最低收入户,中等偏下收入户、中等收入户、中等偏上收入户和最高收入户基本满足持久收入假说;低收入户、中等偏下收入户以及最高收入户只满足相对收入假说理论的一部分,因此,我们可以认为不同的模型从不同层面各有侧重地反映了江西城镇居民的消费状况。通过误差修正模型得到的结论是收入增长率与消费增长率成正比,但收入变动的对消费的影响系数低于收入长期变动对消费的影响。第二个方面是运用扩展线性支出模型研究消费结构,得到城镇居民的八类消费品的边际消费倾向、基本消费需求、边际预算份额、需求收入弹性。由此,针对不同收入水平城镇居民的消费特征,提出繁荣消费市场的相应对策。
[Abstract]:Consumption is the fundamental driving force to stimulate the economic growth of a country or region. The consumption situation of the residents is directly related to the quality of consumption, has a huge impact on consumption, and is an internal factor affecting consumption. The consumption of urban residents plays a key role in the steady economic growth of the whole society, and the change of their consumption behavior directly affects the changes of market supply and demand. In addition, urban economy plays a leading role in China's economy, and its level of development will directly affect the speed of economic development in our country, especially for Jiangxi Province. Therefore, it is necessary to study the current consumption of urban residents in Jiangxi Province. Using relevant data, this paper studies the consumption of urban residents in Jiangxi Province from two aspects. The first aspect is to use the consumption function model to study the consumption behavior of urban residents. The function model is the absolute income consumption function model, the relative income consumption function model, the lasting income consumption function model and the error correction model. The conclusion is that the consumption level of the seven income class urban residents basically satisfies the absolute income hypothesis, the lowest income households, the middle income households and the highest income households basically satisfy the durable income hypothesis. Low income households, middle income households and top income households only satisfy a part of the theory of relative income hypothesis. Therefore, we can think that different models reflect the consumption situation of Jiangxi urban residents from different levels. The conclusion obtained by the error correction model is that the growth rate of income is proportional to the growth rate of consumption, but the influence coefficient of income change on consumption is lower than that of long-term change of income on consumption. The second aspect is to use the extended linear expenditure model to study the consumption structure, and get the marginal consumption tendency, basic consumption demand, marginal budget share and demand income elasticity of the eight categories of consumer goods of urban residents. Therefore, according to the consumption characteristics of urban residents with different income levels, this paper puts forward the corresponding countermeasures to prosper the consumption market.
【学位授予单位】：江西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F126.1

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