中国消费函数研究与消费情况分析

发布时间：2018-06-30 21:03

本文选题：消费函数 + 主成分分析　；参考：《哈尔滨商业大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：投资、出口和消费被称为拉动中国经济增长的“三驾马车”。但是,多年来“三驾马车”的步伐不一致,最终消费率长期过低,国内民众的最终消费需求增长缓慢,经济增长过分依赖出口和投资,一直是我国经济发展中亟待解决的问题,与此同时,消费需求不足会对宏观经济运行产生一系列不良影响。为了研究中国居民的实际消费支出情况,有必要对我国的消费主体进行重新分类,最终确定出适合中国总体消费特点的消费函数模型。但是,对于总体消费函数而言,其受各方面宏观因素的影响较大,因此,通过主成分分析方法将国家两大宏观调控工具即国家货币政策和财政政策予以量化,以研究国家政策对我国居民消费的作用情况。实证分析结果显示,国家非紧缩的货币政策和非紧缩财政政策分别对我国居民消费支出情况起促进作用。
[Abstract]:Investment, exports and consumption are known as the "troika" that drives China's economic growth. However, over the years, the pace of the "troika" has been inconsistent, the final consumption rate has been too low for a long time, the final consumption demand of the domestic people has grown slowly, and the economic growth has been excessively dependent on exports and investment, which has always been a problem to be solved in the economic development of our country. At the same time, insufficient consumer demand will have a series of adverse effects on macro-economic operation. In order to study the actual consumption expenditure of Chinese residents, it is necessary to reclassify the main body of consumption in China, and finally determine the consumption function model suitable for the overall consumption characteristics of China. However, for the overall consumption function, it is greatly influenced by various macro factors. Therefore, the two macro-control tools, namely, the national monetary policy and the fiscal policy, are quantified by principal component analysis (PCA). In order to study the role of national policies on the consumption of Chinese residents. The results of empirical analysis show that the monetary policy and the non-austerity fiscal policy play an important role in promoting the consumption expenditure of Chinese residents.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨商业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F126.1;F224

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