重庆市金融业发展与经济增长关系的实证研究

发布时间：2018-07-10 19:55

本文选题：经济增长 + 金融发展　；参考：《重庆工商大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：金融业是经营金融商品的特殊服务产业，包括银行，证券，保险以及其他金融子行业。金融业具有指标性，高风险性，垄断性等几大特点，金融业的各项指标良好的反映了国民经济发展状况，是国民经济发展的晴雨表。另一方面，金融业的发展的好坏又提高或制约着国民经济的发展，表现为金融危机直接导致的经济危机。由于金融业已经渗透到国民经济的各个行业，所以金融业在国民经济中是一发而动全身的产业，与国民经济相互依存，相互制约，相互发展。本文以重庆市为研究对象，在论述了关于经济发展理论和金融发展理论以及他们的相互作用机制的基础上，确定了衡量经济增长和金融发展的指标，查找相关数据指标并进行相应的计算后，运用计量软件EVIEWS6.0对相关数据指标进行了实证分析。通过对不同指标的研究与分析，试图揭示重庆市金融业对经济增长的具体影响情况并发现现实中存在的问题，并针对性地提出金融业发展的政策建议，在一定程度上实现了指标的选取与指标解释实际问题的创新。本文共分为五章，第一章介绍了本文的研究目的与研究意义，并且综述了国内外研究的现状，通过对相关文献的阅读及研究，提出了本文的创新之处。第二章主要介绍了金融业的相关概念、经济发展理论和金融发展理论，并在理论上探讨了金融发展对经济发展的影响作用机制。第三章对重庆市经济发展情况和金融业发展情况做了详细的阐述。第四章是本文的核心部分，在构建金融发展指标和经济增长指标的基础上，通过平稳性检验，协整检验，格兰杰因果检验等计量方法，，全面评价了重庆市金融业和经济发展之间的影响关系，并对实证分析结果做了解释。第五章根据实证检验的结果，提出了具体的政策建议。
[Abstract]:The financial industry is a special service industry dealing in financial goods, including banking, securities, insurance and other financial sub-industries. The financial industry has several characteristics, such as index, high risk, monopoly and so on. Each index of financial industry reflects the development of national economy well, and is the barometer of national economy development. On the other hand, the development of financial industry improves or restricts the development of national economy. As the financial industry has penetrated into the various industries of the national economy, so the financial industry in the national economy is a dynamic industry, and the national economy is interdependent, mutual constraints, mutual development. On the basis of discussing the theory of economic development and the theory of financial development and their interaction mechanism, this paper takes Chongqing as the research object, and determines the indicators to measure economic growth and financial development. After finding the relevant data index and calculating it, the paper makes an empirical analysis of the relevant data index by using the measurement software EVIEWS6.0. Through the research and analysis of different indicators, this paper tries to reveal the specific influence of Chongqing financial industry on economic growth, and finds out the problems in reality, and puts forward some policy suggestions for the development of financial industry. To a certain extent, the selection of indicators and the innovation of explaining the actual problems are realized. This paper is divided into five chapters. The first chapter introduces the research purpose and significance of this paper, and summarizes the current situation of domestic and foreign research, through the reading and research of relevant literature, put forward the innovation of this paper. The second chapter mainly introduces the related concepts of financial industry, economic development theory and financial development theory, and theoretically discusses the influence mechanism of financial development on economic development. The third chapter describes the economic development and financial development of Chongqing in detail. The fourth chapter is the core part of this paper, based on the construction of financial development indicators and economic growth indicators, through the stability test, cointegration test, Granger causality test and other measurement methods. This paper comprehensively evaluates the relationship between financial industry and economic development in Chongqing, and explains the results of empirical analysis. The fifth chapter puts forward concrete policy suggestions according to the results of empirical test.
【学位授予单位】：重庆工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F832.7;F224

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