从“梯度发展”到“同步转型”——中西部实体经济发展的“柳州拐点”

发布时间：2018-07-13 21:49

【摘要】：2011年以来,中西部经济发展出现显著回落拐点,传统的中西部梯度发展模式遇到瓶颈。本文从综合成本、城乡差距、生态约束、产能过剩、地方债务等五个方面分析认为,此轮中西部经济增长的回落并不只是宏观经济周期现象,其预示着中西部传统梯度发展道路的终结,中西部开发战略应进入与东部"同步转型"的发展新阶段。随着基础设施的完善,中西部地区有能力与条件在产业升级、开放经济、发展方式、制度改革方面与东部保持同步,形成发展新动力。广西柳州在中西部城市实体经济发展方面具有典型性,"柳州拐点"代表着中西部城市转型的普遍现象,其转型难题与转型经验具有共性意义。
[Abstract]:Since 2011, the economic development of the central and western regions has experienced a significant decline inflection point, and the traditional gradient development model of the central and western regions has encountered bottlenecks. This paper analyzes from five aspects of comprehensive cost, urban-rural gap, ecological constraints, overcapacity and local debt, and concludes that the decline of economic growth in the central and western regions is not just a macroeconomic cycle phenomenon. It indicates the end of the traditional gradient development road in the central and western regions, and the development strategy of the central and western regions should enter a new stage of "synchronous transformation" with the eastern part. With the improvement of infrastructure, the central and western regions have the ability and conditions to keep pace with the eastern region in terms of industrial upgrading, open economy, development mode and system reform, and form a new motive force for development. Liuzhou is typical in the development of real economy in the central and western cities of Guangxi. "turning point of Liuzhou" represents the universal phenomenon of the transformation of the central and western cities, and its transition problem and experience are of common significance.
【作者单位】：上海社会科学院;上海国际经济交流中心;
【基金】：上海社会科学院《广西柳州发展战略研究》项目理论研究成果,“柳州拐点”论断是由课题组组长王战教授提出并指导
【分类号】：F127

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