中国地区间收入差距分析:基于贸易开放视角的度量

发布时间：2018-07-31 20:56

【摘要】：20世纪90年代以来,随着中国梯度对外开放战略的实施,中国经济增长的地区收入差距持续扩大,其中,对外贸易是引致中国地区收入差距的重要原因之一。本文运用倾向得分匹配法评估贸易开放度高低对省际人均实际产出(GDP)的影响。研究发现,在1981-2007年间,从全部样本省区来看,贸易开放度较高省区的人均GDP比贸易开放度较低省区的平均要高125-197元,约占样本实际人均GDP的6.1%-9.6%。从贸易开放度较高的省区中随机地挑选一个省区,这个省区的实际人均GDP与假定该省区贸易开放度较低时平均要高856.9-900元,约占样本实际人均GDP的39%-43%。承接东部产业转移、扩大内需、减少对海外市场的依赖和加强基础设施建设有利于中西部地区扩大和深化对外贸易,进而减小经济增长的地区差距。
[Abstract]:Since 1990s, with the implementation of China's strategy of gradient opening to the outside world, the regional income gap of China's economic growth has continued to expand, among which, foreign trade is one of the important reasons leading to the regional income gap in China. In this paper, the tendency score matching method is used to evaluate the influence of trade openness on (GDP) per capita. It is found that from 1981 to 2007, the average GDP per capita of the provinces with higher trade openness is 125-197 yuan higher than that of the lower provinces, accounting for 6.1-9.6% of the sample's actual per capita GDP. A province is randomly selected from a province with a high degree of trade openness. The actual per capita GDP of the province is 856.9-900 yuan higher than that of the province assuming a lower degree of trade openness, accounting for about 39-43% of the sample's actual per capita GDP. Undertaking industrial transfer in the east, expanding domestic demand, reducing dependence on overseas markets and strengthening infrastructure construction are conducive to the expansion and deepening of foreign trade in the central and western regions, thereby reducing the regional gap in economic growth.
【作者单位】：中山大学岭南学院博士后流动站;广发证券博士后工作站;武汉大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大攻关项目《后金融危机时代中国参与全球经济再平衡的战略与路径研究》(11&ZD008) 国家自然科学基金青年项目《个体异质性视角下中国区际产业转移微观机制研究》(71303088) 教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目《国际贸易对我国碳排放效率的影响及对策研究》(13YJC790073)
【分类号】：F752;F124.7;F224

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