陕西省技术进步对就业的影响研究

发布时间：2018-08-28 14:58

【摘要】：本文研究的主要目的是通过数学建模，采用文献研究法、比较分析法、理论研究法、宏微观经济分析法以及实证分析方法相结合，从陕西省就业总量以及三次产业就业总量两个方面实证分析陕西省技术进步对就业的具体影响。首先，本文在国内外研究的基础上，从技术进步相关理论、就业相关理论、技术进步对就业影响理论三个方面进行理论阐述，，并对技术进步以及就业的概念就行总结。同时，分别从技术进步影响就业总量以及就业结构两个方面的作用机理进行具体分析。其次，针对陕西省技术进步与就业现状进行具体分析。一是介绍陕西省技术进步的现状以及存在的问题，从积极、消极两方面进行剖析；二是分析陕西省就业的现状及存在的问题，特别是从三次产业和农村、城镇等方面详细分析当前陕西省就业严峻形势，为第七章提出关于推动陕西省技术进步促进就业的对策和建议奠定基础。再次，在技术进步对就业影响数学建模的基础上，运用Eviews6.0软件，根据1978-2010年统计数据，采用了平稳性检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、回归分析、误差修正模型、灰色关联等多种分析方法，分别从陕西省就业总量影响因素的相关性分析、陕西省技术进步对就业总量的影响评价分析以及陕西省技术进步对三次产业就业总量的影响评价分析三个方面进行实证分析，并得出相应结论，以期为推动陕西省技术进步促进就业提供理论依据。最后，结合实证结论提出相应的对策与建议。从技术体系建立完善角度，提出建立准市场经济技术创新体系、强化企业在技术创新中的主体地位、推动科技成果向生产力转化、鼓励支持高新技术产业发展；从适当发展劳动密集型产业角度，提出加强宏观调控和引导、营造良好的市场环境、为农民外出务工创造良好就业环境；从大力发展第三产业角度，提出因地制宜发展第三产业、丰富第三产业所有制形式、务实发展第三产业基础。
[Abstract]:The main purpose of this paper is to combine the methods of literature research, comparative analysis, theoretical research, macro and micro economic analysis and empirical analysis through mathematical modeling. This paper empirically analyzes the impact of technological progress on employment in Shaanxi Province from two aspects: the total employment volume of Shaanxi Province and the total employment volume of three industries. Firstly, based on the research at home and abroad, this paper expounds the theories of technology progress, employment and the influence of technology progress on employment, and summarizes the concepts of technology progress and employment. At the same time, the mechanism of the influence of technological progress on total employment and employment structure is analyzed in detail. Secondly, the technical progress and employment situation in Shaanxi Province are analyzed. The first is to introduce the present situation and existing problems of technological progress in Shaanxi Province, and to analyze the positive and negative aspects; the second is to analyze the present situation and existing problems of employment in Shaanxi Province, especially from the three industries and the rural areas. This paper analyzes in detail the severe employment situation in Shaanxi Province from the aspects of cities and towns, and lays a foundation for the seventh chapter to put forward countermeasures and suggestions for promoting technological progress and promoting employment in Shaanxi Province. Thirdly, on the basis of the mathematical modeling of the influence of technological progress on employment, using Eviews6.0 software, according to the statistical data from 1978 to 2010, using the stationary test, cointegration test, Granger causality test, regression analysis, error correction model. Grey correlation and other analysis methods, respectively, from the total employment in Shaanxi Province, the impact factors of the correlation analysis, The impact of technological progress on total employment in Shaanxi Province and the impact of technological progress on the total employment of three industries in Shaanxi Province are analyzed empirically, and the corresponding conclusions are drawn. In order to promote technological progress in Shaanxi Province to promote employment to provide a theoretical basis. Finally, according to the empirical conclusions, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward. From the point of view of establishing and perfecting the technological system, this paper puts forward the establishment of the technological innovation system of quasi-market economy, strengthening the main position of enterprises in technological innovation, promoting the transformation of scientific and technological achievements to productive forces, and encouraging and supporting the development of high-tech industries. From the angle of appropriate development of labor-intensive industries, it is proposed to strengthen macro-control and guidance, create a good market environment, create a good employment environment for peasants to work outside the country, and vigorously develop the tertiary industry, It is suggested that the tertiary industry should be developed according to local conditions, the form of ownership of the third industry should be enriched, and the basis of the third industry should be developed pragmatically.
【学位授予单位】：西安工程大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.3;F249.21

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