中国城乡居民消费结构升级对经济增长的影响

发布时间：2018-08-28 19:10

【摘要】：运用2004—2012年30个省、自治区和直辖市的城乡面板数据,关于城乡居民消费结构升级对我国经济增长的影响机制的研究发现:当采用城乡居民家庭工业品与农业品消费的相对支出比例增加来刻画居民消费结构升级时,居民消费结构升级在产品结构优化这一传导途径下会促进我国制造业的增长,但会降低农业增长率。居民消费结构升级无法通过产业结构升级这一途径来影响农业的增长,这一结果表明"当前我国产业结构调整和优化是导致农业经济增速放缓"的观点是片面的。当采用城乡居民家庭服务品与工业品消费的相对支出比例来刻画居民消费结构升级时,居民消费结构升级只能通过投资结构变动而不能通过产品结构优化和产业结构升级这两条传导途径来影响我国农业和制造业的增长。
[Abstract]:Using urban and rural panel data from 30 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government from 2004 to 2012, The study on the influence mechanism of urban and rural residents' consumption structure upgrading on China's economic growth found that: when the proportion of relative expenditure of household industrial products and agricultural products of urban and rural residents increases to describe the upgrading of the consumption structure of residents, The upgrading of resident consumption structure will promote the growth of manufacturing industry in China, but will reduce the growth rate of agriculture under the transmission way of optimizing the product structure. The upgrading of resident consumption structure can not affect the growth of agriculture through the way of industrial structure upgrading. The result shows that the view that the adjustment and optimization of industrial structure in our country is leading to the slowdown of agricultural economic growth at present is one-sided. When the relative expenditure ratio between urban and rural residents' household services and industrial products is used to describe the upgrading of residents' consumption structure, The upgrading of resident consumption structure can affect the growth of agriculture and manufacturing industry only through the change of investment structure but not through the optimization of product structure and the upgrading of industrial structure.
【作者单位】：中国人民大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目“我国经济结构调整的路径与梯次研究”(11AZD037)
【分类号】：F124.1;F126.1

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