欧债危机的现状、根源、演变趋势及其对发展中国家的影响
发布时间：2018-09-17 12:58
【摘要】：2013年3季度以来,欧洲经济显示出企稳复苏迹象,这是否意味欧洲已摆脱债务危机的泥潭?困扰欧洲的深层次问题是否破解?欧债危机未来演变趋势及其对发展中国家将产生何种影响?这些均是当下亟待深入研究的课题。基于此,本文主要从欧洲"去工业化"下的资源错配、不彻底的"一体化"及人口老龄化三个层面分析困扰欧洲深层次问题的根源、逻辑及其未来演变的可能路径。进一步地,从欧洲与发展中国家联系、实体经济、国际资本流动及宏观调控政策四个维度,探讨了欧债危机对发展中国家产生的影响。最后,在此基础上提出欧债危机治理、发展中国家舒缓冲击和防范风险的对策与建议。
[Abstract]:Since the third quarter of 2013, the European economy has shown signs of stabilising and recovering. Does this mean that Europe has emerged from the quagmire of the debt crisis? Are the deep-seated problems that beset Europe solved? The future evolution of the European debt crisis and its impact on developing countries? These are the current issues that need to be studied in depth. Based on this, this paper mainly analyzes the source, logic and possible path of future evolution of Europe's deep-seated problems from the three aspects of resource mismatch, incomplete "integration" and population aging under "de-industrialization" in Europe. Furthermore, this paper discusses the impact of the European debt crisis on the developing countries from the four dimensions of the relationship between Europe and developing countries, the real economy, the international capital flow and the macro-control policies. Finally, on the basis of this, the paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for managing the European debt crisis and mitigating the impact and preventing risks in developing countries.
【作者单位】： 中国光大银行总行;
【分类号】：F815;F112.1
[Abstract]:Since the third quarter of 2013, the European economy has shown signs of stabilising and recovering. Does this mean that Europe has emerged from the quagmire of the debt crisis? Are the deep-seated problems that beset Europe solved? The future evolution of the European debt crisis and its impact on developing countries? These are the current issues that need to be studied in depth. Based on this, this paper mainly analyzes the source, logic and possible path of future evolution of Europe's deep-seated problems from the three aspects of resource mismatch, incomplete "integration" and population aging under "de-industrialization" in Europe. Furthermore, this paper discusses the impact of the European debt crisis on the developing countries from the four dimensions of the relationship between Europe and developing countries, the real economy, the international capital flow and the macro-control policies. Finally, on the basis of this, the paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for managing the European debt crisis and mitigating the impact and preventing risks in developing countries.
【作者单位】： 中国光大银行总行;
【分类号】：F815;F112.1
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