中国节能政策的经济增长效应与最优节能路径选择

发布时间：2018-10-19 19:01

【摘要】：本文设计了两种节能政策(固定额度的节能政策和比例额度的节能政策),并利用中国各省1995-2011年的省际面板数据,根据加入能源消费的扩展Cobb-Douglas生产函数,运用时间可替代DEA模型分析了在不同节能目标(54.4%,68%,90.5%,20%节能额度)约束下,中国这两种节能政策的经济增长效应和最优路径,并讨论了全要素生产率对潜在经济增长损失率及最优节能路径的影响。本文的研究结论表明比例额度的节能政策实施效果更好,节能目标的制定应充分考虑各省的实际情况,生产率较高的省份在较高节能目标的约束下产出损失更大,而生产率较低的省份实施节能政策反而有利于经济增长。本文的结论只能部分支持节能和经济发展双赢的环境波特假说,对于有的省份而言节能和经济增长之间还是面临着两难抉择。
[Abstract]:In this paper, two kinds of energy saving policies (fixed quota energy saving policy and proportional energy saving policy) are designed. Based on the provincial panel data from 1995 to 2011, the expanded Cobb-Douglas production function with energy consumption is added. This paper analyzes the economic growth effect and optimal path of the two energy-saving policies in China under the constraints of different energy-saving objectives (54.4%, 90.5%) and 20% energy saving quota, using the time-substitutable DEA model. The effects of total factor productivity on the loss rate of potential economic growth and the optimal energy saving path are discussed. The conclusion of this paper shows that the proportion of the energy saving policy is more effective, the formulation of energy saving goals should take into account the actual situation of the provinces, and the provinces with higher productivity have greater output losses under the constraints of higher energy efficiency targets. The implementation of low-productivity provinces energy-saving policy is conducive to economic growth. The conclusion of this paper can only partially support the environment Porter hypothesis that energy conservation and economic development are win-win. For some provinces, there is still a dilemma between energy conservation and economic growth.
【作者单位】：湖北大学商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金(编号:71473071) 教育部人文社科基金(编号:14YJA790065) 国家社科基金青年项目(编号:14CJL041)
【分类号】：F124

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