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北京市低碳经济投入产出模型研究

发布时间:2018-11-18 17:53
【摘要】:随着经济的快速发展,人们的物质生活水平得到了很大的提高,随之而来的是不再单纯的满足于物质追求,对生活质量的要求达到了前所未有的高度。近年来环境的恶化,使得生活环境好坏成为大多数人评判生活质量的标准,碳排放也因此成为现如今全球热门话题之一。然而从经济学理论上讲,经济发展离不开能源消费,它是经济发展的重要投入要素,与此同时,经济的不断发展,导致能源消费量越来越多,能源消费又会导致二氧化碳排放增加,随之而来的是空气质量变差、全球变暖等环境问题。因此,能源消费、经济增长与二氧化碳排放之间存在着复杂的关系。为了解决经济的快速发展带来的环境的恶化问题,有效的控制二氧化碳等温室气体的排放,发展低碳经济成为了世界各国的必然选择。本文就是基于此选题的。首先,本文以投入产出分析为工具,将投入产出分析和低碳经济的发展结合在一起,对传统的投入产出表进行改造,在第三象限下面加入了第五、六象限,分别为能耗象限和碳排象限,并加入居民能源消费以及碳排的数据,编制出了北京市2010年碳排投入产出表,并设定了五个系数。其次,在碳排投入产出表的基础上建立碳排模型,并对模型进行了实证分析,通过分析结果揭示国民经济各个部门的产出、能源消耗、二氧化碳之间的内在数量关系;建立碳排优化模型,为2015年北京市部门产业结构调整及优化提供一定的依据。最后,在实证分析的基础上提出了政策与建议。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of economy, people's material life level has been greatly improved, followed by is no longer simply satisfied with the material pursuit, the quality of life requirements have reached an unprecedented high. In recent years, the deterioration of the environment has made the living environment a standard for most people to judge the quality of life, and carbon emissions have become one of the hot topics in the world. However, from the economic theory, economic development can not be separated from energy consumption. It is an important input element of economic development. At the same time, the continuous development of economy leads to more and more energy consumption. Energy consumption will lead to increased carbon dioxide emissions, followed by poor air quality, global warming and other environmental problems. Therefore, there is a complex relationship between energy consumption, economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions. In order to solve the problem of environmental deterioration brought by the rapid development of economy, effectively control the emission of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, the development of low-carbon economy has become the inevitable choice of countries in the world. This article is based on this topic. First of all, using input-output analysis as a tool, combining input-output analysis with the development of low-carbon economy, this paper reconstructs the traditional input-output table and adds the fifth and sixth quadrants under the third quadrant. The energy consumption quadrant and carbon emission quadrant are added to the data of energy consumption and carbon emission respectively. The input-output table of Beijing's carbon emissions in 2010 is worked out and five coefficients are set up. Secondly, the carbon emission model is established on the basis of the carbon emission input-output table, and the empirical analysis of the model is carried out. The results reveal the internal quantitative relationship among output, energy consumption and carbon dioxide in various sectors of the national economy. The establishment of carbon emission optimization model provides a basis for industrial structure adjustment and optimization in Beijing in 2015. Finally, on the basis of empirical analysis, policy and suggestions are put forward.
【学位授予单位】:首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:F124.5

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