温江区居民消费结构变动的统计研究

发布时间：2019-01-10 11:12

【摘要】：改革开放以来,我国经济实现了快速发展,但高投资、高出口、低消费的“两高一低”现象严重,在拉动经济增长的“三驾马车”中,消费是最稳定、最持久的动力。消费结构既是经济结构的重要组成部分,也是消费领域的核心,它是衡量一个国家社会经济状况是否良性循环的关键,也是反映居民生活质量变化的重要指标之一。所以,消费结构的研究,对促进社会和谐发展、全面建设小康社会具有重要意义。近年来,国内学者对中国居民消费结构进行了较多的研究,形成许多不同的观点。但专门对温江区居民消费作较为全面、系统的研究成果,就笔者视野所及,尚不多见。本文将理论与实践相结合,对1987年以来温江区居民传统八大类消费支出和归并后的三大类消费支出进行分析,找出其变动的规律性和影响因素。温江区作为成都市城乡一体化的第一批试点地区,本文力图找出其居民消费结构变动与其城乡一体化进程的关系,通过对温江区居民二十五年来消费结构变动的历史、现状和发展趋势的研究,为温江区今后更好更快地发展提供参考。对温江区居民消费结构的研究,主要有以下几方面的内容：在对消费结构的内涵进行界定以后,本文将传统八大类消费归纳合并为生存型、享乐型和发展型这三个层次的消费。为了更好的分析和阐述消费结构的变动,本文运用聚类分析法将1987年至2011年这25年来温江区居民消费结构划分为三个阶段,并对八大类消费支出演变趋势进行阐述。随后,本文对温江区城乡居民三大类消费进行了阶段性规律特征的分析,并根据各类消费支出占比对温江区居民消费结构变动的特点进行了探究。在研究温江区居民消费结构变动与其城乡一体化的关系时,将非农业人口比例作为衡量城市化进程的指标,对比不同时期居民收支水平、平均消费倾向等方面的演进趋势。采用ELES模型,对温江区居民边际消费倾向、基本需求支出、需求收入弹性等角度,研究温江区居民的消费水平以及消费结构的特征。运用双残差模型,对温江区非农业人口比重对居民消费支出的影响进行回归分析。最后,对温江区居民消费结构的变动进行总结。居民消费结构值得关注和研究的内容很多,问题也很复杂,由于作者能力和水平所限,只能得到一些肤浅的认识。本文还存在许多有待于继续深入研究和改进的地方,比如做更加深入实际的调查研究、将温江区居民消费结构与其他省市、尤其是发达地区的居民消费结构进行比较等。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has achieved rapid development, but the phenomenon of "two high and one low" with high investment, high export and low consumption is serious. Consumption is the most stable and lasting driving force in the "troika" of economic growth. Consumption structure is not only an important part of economic structure, but also the core of consumption field. It is the key to measure whether a country's social and economic situation is virtuous or not, and it is also one of the important indicators to reflect the change of residents' quality of life. Therefore, the study of consumption structure is of great significance to promote the harmonious development of society and build a well-off society in an all-round way. In recent years, domestic scholars have made more research on the consumption structure of Chinese residents and formed many different views. However, it is rare for the author to make a comprehensive and systematic research on the residents' consumption in Wenjiang area. Combining theory with practice, this paper analyzes the traditional eight categories of consumer expenditure and the merged three categories of consumer expenditure in Wenjiang District since 1987, and finds out the regularity and influencing factors of their changes. As the first pilot area of urban-rural integration in Chengdu, this paper tries to find out the relationship between the change of resident consumption structure and the process of urban-rural integration. The research of present situation and development trend provides reference for better and faster development of Wenjiang district in the future. The research on the consumption structure of the residents in Wenjiang district mainly includes the following aspects: after defining the connotation of the consumption structure, this paper combines the traditional eight categories of consumption into three levels of consumption: survival type, hedonic type and developmental type. In order to better analyze and expound the change of consumption structure, this paper uses cluster analysis to divide the consumption structure of Wenjiang district into three stages in the 25 years from 1987 to 2011, and expounds the evolvement trend of eight categories of consumer expenditure. Then, this paper analyzes the characteristics of the three major categories of consumption of urban and rural residents in Wenjiang District, and probes into the characteristics of the change of consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang District according to the proportion of various kinds of consumption expenditure. In the study of the relationship between the change of resident consumption structure and the integration of urban and rural areas in Wenjiang District, the ratio of non-agricultural population is taken as an index to measure the process of urbanization, and the evolution trend of residents' income and expenditure level and average consumption tendency in different periods are compared. Based on ELES model, the characteristics of consumption level and consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang area are studied from the perspectives of marginal consumption tendency, basic demand expenditure, demand income elasticity and so on. Based on the double residuals model, a regression analysis was carried out on the effect of the proportion of non-agricultural population on the consumption expenditure of residents in Wenjiang District. Finally, the change of consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang district is summarized. The consumption structure of the residents deserves much attention and research, and the problems are very complicated. Due to the limitation of the author's ability and level, he can only get some superficial understanding. There are still many places to be further studied and improved in this paper, such as making more in-depth investigation and research, comparing the consumption structure of residents in Wenjiang with that of other provinces and cities, especially in developed regions, and so on.
【学位授予单位】：西南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F126.1;F224

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