中国西部地区“资源诅咒”传导机制研究

发布时间：2019-01-23 19:52

【摘要】：长期以来,自然资源一直被认为是经济增长的物质基础,良好的自然资源禀赋被认为是一个地区经济发展的先决条件,但是自20世纪中期以来,世界上许多资源富集的地区经济增长缓慢甚至出现了经济增长停滞的局面,特别是资源诅咒理论假说的提出,大量的经济学家开始关注自然资源对经济增长的影响。从国内的情况来看,资源丰裕的西部地区长期以来经济增长速度远远落后于中东部,国内一些学者也开始就我国是否存在资源诅咒现象以及资源诅咒的传导机制也进行了一定的研究,本文在梳理前人研究的基础上,首先利用中国省级面板数据来验证资源诅咒在我国的存在性,结果显示在西部大开发以前,资源诅咒效应在我国省级层面上明显的存在,自然资源对于经济的发展起到了一定的抑制作用。然而在西部大开发以后,随着国家对西部投资力度的加大,自然资源对经济增长起到了促进作用,资源诅咒效应表面上看来不存在了。但是长期来看,这种经济增长是以减少制造业的投入、人力资本的提升和技术进步为代价的,同时引起了制度弱化效应,必然会造成长期经济增长的乏力,形成更大的“资源诅咒”。随后本文通过对资源诅咒系数的构建,利用西部地区1991-2010年西部10个省级单位的面板数据来分析资源诅咒在我国西部的传导机制,结果证实资源诅咒主要通过挤出效应和制度弱化效应来影响西部地区经济的发展,西部大开发的实施在一定程度上缓解了西部地区的资源诅咒效应,投资水平的提高、人力资本的提升、市场化程度的提高和对外开放程度的加大从一定程度上降低了资源诅咒的效果,但是这种效应还是显著的存在,特别是对科技投入的挤出效应有了明显的加剧趋势,同时,这种以投资为主导的西部地区经济增长的可持续性有待于我们进一步研究。基于上述理论,本文提出了破解资源诅咒的对策建议,以便为西部地区实现资源开发和经济增长的良性发展提供政策建议基础,实现西部地区经济的可持续发展。
[Abstract]:For a long time, natural resources have been regarded as the material basis of economic growth, and good natural resource endowment has been regarded as a prerequisite for the economic development of a region, but since the middle of the 20th century, In many resource-rich regions of the world, economic growth is slow or even stagnant, especially the hypothesis of resource curse theory, a large number of economists begin to pay attention to the impact of natural resources on economic growth. Judging from the domestic situation, the economic growth rate of the resource-rich western region has lagged far behind that of the central and eastern regions for a long time. Some domestic scholars have also begun to study the existence of resource curse and the transmission mechanism of resource curse in China. Firstly, the provincial panel data of China are used to verify the existence of resource curse in China. The results show that before the development of the western region, the resource curse effect obviously exists at the provincial level. Natural resources play a certain role in restraining the development of economy. However, after the development of the western region, with the increase of national investment in the western region, natural resources play a role in promoting economic growth, and the resource curse effect does not appear to exist on the surface. But in the long run, this kind of economic growth is at the cost of reducing the investment in the manufacturing industry, the upgrading of human capital and technological progress. At the same time, it has caused a weakening effect of the system, which will inevitably lead to a lack of long-term economic growth. Create a greater resource curse. Then this paper analyzes the transmission mechanism of resource curse in western China by constructing the coefficient of resource curse and using the panel data of 10 provincial units in western China from 1991 to 2010. The results show that the resource curse mainly affects the economic development of the western region through the crowding out effect and institutional weakening effect, and the implementation of the western development alleviates to some extent the resource curse effect and the improvement of the investment level in the western region. The improvement of human capital, the increase of marketization and the increase of opening to the outside world have to some extent reduced the effect of resource curse, but this effect still exists significantly. Especially, the extrusion effect of science and technology investment has an obvious trend of aggravation, at the same time, the sustainability of economic growth in the western region, which is dominated by investment, needs to be further studied. Based on the above theory, this paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to break the curse of resources, in order to provide a policy basis for the development of resources and economic growth in the western region, and to realize the sustainable development of the economy in the western region.
【学位授予单位】：北京邮电大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F205

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