流通业对云南省经济增长的影响

发布时间：2019-02-19 09:02

【摘要】：本文旨在以促进云南省经济增长为落脚点，研究流通产业对云南省经济增长的影响。流通产业作为第三产业的重要组成部分，它是连接生产和消费的桥梁和纽带，其在扩大内需拉动经济中的作用不言而喻。本文在充分研究流通业对经济增长影响的相关文献的基础上，首先对流通业的范围做出了界定，然后对云南省流通业的发展现状、流通业对经济增长的贡献度、云南省流通业的区位熵和流通业发展存在的问题进行了系统和全面的研究，了解到云南省流通业虽然发展规模逐渐增大，但是也存在着很多的问题，如流通业对GDP、就业、消费的拉动作用没有充分发挥，云南省流通业相比经济发达地区的流通业发展落后，所以流通业在云南省经济中先导作用的地位并未充分体现。笔者在此基础上，结合云南省1997-2012年的相关数据，运用相关性分析、单位根检验、格兰杰因果关系检验、协整检验和误差修正模型等实证分析法，较为详细地分析并比较了第三产业中的流通业、金融业、房地产业对云南省经济增长的长短期影响。研究表明，，不论长期还是短期，流通业对云南省经济增长的贡献大于金融业和房地产业。接下来，本文使用1995-2012年的相关数据，运用相关性分析、回归分析研究了流通产业对其他产业的影响，研究表明，流通产业对其他产业的贡献作用都很大，尤其对第一产业的贡献作用最大，这表明流通业在地区经济产业结构转型中扮演着重要的角色。最后，在实证研究的基础上，笔者提出发展云南省流通业促进经济增长的对策与建议。
[Abstract]:The purpose of this paper is to study the influence of circulation industry on Yunnan economic growth. As an important part of the tertiary industry, circulation industry is the bridge and link between production and consumption, which plays a self-evident role in expanding domestic demand and stimulating the economy. On the basis of the research on the influence of circulation on economic growth, this paper first defines the scope of circulation, and then makes a definition of the current situation of circulation in Yunnan, and the contribution of circulation to economic growth. This paper makes a systematic and comprehensive study on the location entropy and the problems existing in the development of circulation industry in Yunnan Province, and finds out that although the scale of development of circulation industry in Yunnan Province is gradually increasing, there are also many problems, such as the employment of GDP, in circulation industry. The pulling effect of consumption has not been brought into full play, and the circulation industry in Yunnan Province is backward compared with the circulation industry in the economically developed areas, so the leading role of circulation industry in the economy of Yunnan Province has not been fully reflected. On this basis, combined with the relevant data from 1997 to 2012 in Yunnan Province, using correlation analysis, unit root test, Granger causality test, cointegration test and error correction model, and so on, the author uses empirical analysis methods, such as correlation analysis, unit root test, Granger causality test, and error correction model. The effects of circulation, finance and real estate on the economic growth of Yunnan Province are analyzed and compared in detail. The results show that the contribution of circulation to Yunnan's economic growth is greater than that of finance and real estate. Then, using the relevant data from 1995 to 2012, using correlation analysis and regression analysis, this paper studies the impact of circulation industry on other industries. The research shows that the contribution of circulation industry to other industries is very great. Especially to the primary industry, which indicates that the circulation industry plays an important role in the transformation of regional economic industrial structure. Finally, on the basis of empirical research, the author puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to promote economic growth through circulation in Yunnan Province.
【学位授予单位】：云南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F724;F127;F224

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