苏中经济区域产业结构变动的就业效应研究

发布时间：2019-03-16 15:52

【摘要】：苏中经济区域，在江苏省位于沿海和沿江两大经济带的结合处，对实现江苏经济区域协调发展起着“承南启北”的作用。近年来，，苏中作为上海、南京的三小时经济圈内的地区，借助其明显的区位优势得到了较大的发展，但是较之苏南等发达地区，苏中地区经济仍比较落后，目前正面临着产业结构优化升级和促使劳动者充分就业两个重大任务。因此，分析苏中经济区域产业结构变化下的就业效应，从而探讨如何在产业结构调整变化的同时增加就业，使就业结构顺应产业结构的要求而变动，达到二者的协同发展，具有重要的现实意义。本论文通过考察苏中经济区域产业的发展现状，并对产业结构和就业结构的2000-2011年的演变趋势进行研究总结，认为目前该地区处于工业化的中期阶段，产业结构不合理现象较突出；重工业化的程度较高；相对于整个江苏省，苏中地区第二产业的集中程度最低，对区域经济的带动作用没有得到充分体现。在此基础上，本文进一步分析了苏中经济区域就业结构与产业结构变化之间的关联性，通过结构偏离度以及就业弹性的量化分析，认为三次产业的产业结构与就业结构间都存在着不同程度的不协调情况，其中第一产业和第二产业间的不协调程度要高于第三产业；第一产业存在大量剩余劳动力，第二、三产业有较强的就业吸纳能力。从影响就业的产业结构的调整方向以及产业结构的调整速度两个角度出发，建立多元线性回归方程，考察苏中经济区域产业结构的变动调整对就业的双重影响效应，认为从长远来看产业结构调整对就业的影响为正的净效应，最终会促进就业的增长。最后，在以上的研究基础上，本文就苏中经济区域提出了切实可行的旨在保证产业结构协调发展的就业促进策略。
[Abstract]:Jiangsu Province is located at the junction of the two economic zones along the coast and along the Yangtze River, which plays the role of "linking the south to the north" to realize the coordinated development of Jiangsu's economic region. In recent years, as a region within the three-hour economic circle of Shanghai and Nanjing, Jiangsu Central Jiangsu has developed greatly with the help of its obvious geographical advantages, but compared with the developed areas such as southern Jiangsu, the economy of the central Jiangsu Province is still relatively backward. At present, we are faced with two important tasks: optimizing and upgrading the industrial structure and promoting full employment of labourers. Therefore, this paper analyzes the employment effect under the change of the industrial structure in the central Jiangsu province, and probes into how to increase the employment while adjusting the industrial structure and make the employment structure change in accordance with the requirements of the industrial structure, so as to achieve the coordinated development of the two. It is of great practical significance. Through investigating the current situation of regional industrial development in central Jiangsu province and summarizing the evolution trend of industrial structure and employment structure from 2000 to 2011, this paper concludes that the region is in the middle stage of industrialization at present. The phenomenon of unreasonable industrial structure is more prominent; The degree of heavy industrialization is higher, compared with the whole Jiangsu Province, the concentration of the secondary industry in the central Jiangsu Province is the lowest, and the driving effect of the secondary industry on the regional economy has not been fully reflected. On this basis, this paper further analyzes the relationship between the regional employment structure and industrial structure change in the central Jiangsu province, through the quantitative analysis of the degree of structural deviation and employment elasticity. It is considered that there are different degrees of incoordination between the industrial structure and employment structure of the three industries, in which the degree of incoordination between the primary industry and the secondary industry is higher than that of the tertiary industry; The primary industry has a large number of surplus labor, second, the third industry has a strong ability to absorb employment. Starting from the adjustment direction of the industrial structure affecting employment and the adjustment speed of the industrial structure, the multiple linear regression equation is established to investigate the dual effect of the adjustment of the industrial structure on employment in the central Jiangsu province. In the long run, the influence of industrial structure adjustment on employment is a positive net effect, which will eventually promote the growth of employment. Finally, on the basis of the above research, this paper puts forward a feasible employment promotion strategy aimed at ensuring the coordinated development of industrial structure in the economic region of Soviet Union and China.
【学位授予单位】：上海师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F279.2

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