产业结构变迁中的二元经济——分析中国的不均等与增长趋势
发布时间：2019-05-27 04:36
【摘要】：本文研究发现:产业结构升级降低了农村就业增长率,但提高了农民的工资增长率,提高了城市初级劳动力的工资增长率,但对农民工就业增长率存在倒U型影响,对城市高级劳动力就业存在U型影响;产业结构升级通过人力资本增长放大了城市高级劳动力的工资增长率,但却削弱了初级劳动力对高级劳动力工资增长的驱动作用。人力资本增长会放大城市部门内部的工资差距而产业结构升级却对此有一定的抑制作用,初级劳动力工资的城乡差距在产业结构升级中会逐步消失,人力资本增长会放大城市高级劳动力与农村初级劳动力工资差距而产业结构升级却对此有一定的抑制作用。随着产业结构升级,农村部门的萎缩将使增长变小,初级劳动力驱动的增长将变小,但人力资本驱动的增长将变大。为缓和中国日益扩大的不平等与逐渐下滑的增长趋势,产业结构升级、人力资本投资和均等化以及户籍改革需要同时齐头并进。
[Abstract]:This paper finds that the upgrading of industrial structure reduces the growth rate of rural employment, but increases the wage growth rate of farmers and the wage growth rate of urban primary labor force, but has an inverted U-shaped impact on the employment growth rate of migrant workers. There is a U-shaped influence on the employment of urban advanced labor force. The upgrading of industrial structure magnifies the wage growth rate of urban advanced labor force through the growth of human capital, but weakens the driving effect of primary labor force on the wage growth of senior labor force. The growth of human capital will magnify the wage gap within the urban sector, but the upgrading of the industrial structure will inhibit it to a certain extent. The wage gap between urban and rural areas of the primary labor force will gradually disappear in the upgrading of the industrial structure. The growth of human capital will enlarge the wage gap between urban senior labor force and rural primary labor force, but the upgrading of industrial structure can inhibit it to a certain extent. With the upgrading of the industrial structure, the contraction of the rural sector will make the growth smaller, the growth driven by the primary labor force will become smaller, but the growth driven by human capital will become larger. In order to ease the growing inequality and declining growth trend in China, the upgrading of industrial structure, human capital investment and Equalization, and household registration reform need to go hand in hand at the same time.
【作者单位】： 北京大学新结构经济学研究中心;
【基金】：清华大学农村研究博士论文奖学金(2013-2014) 国家自然科学基金委主任项目“跨越中等收入陷阱:以沿海地区率先转型升级为突破口”(项目编号:71350002)
【分类号】：F121.3
[Abstract]:This paper finds that the upgrading of industrial structure reduces the growth rate of rural employment, but increases the wage growth rate of farmers and the wage growth rate of urban primary labor force, but has an inverted U-shaped impact on the employment growth rate of migrant workers. There is a U-shaped influence on the employment of urban advanced labor force. The upgrading of industrial structure magnifies the wage growth rate of urban advanced labor force through the growth of human capital, but weakens the driving effect of primary labor force on the wage growth of senior labor force. The growth of human capital will magnify the wage gap within the urban sector, but the upgrading of the industrial structure will inhibit it to a certain extent. The wage gap between urban and rural areas of the primary labor force will gradually disappear in the upgrading of the industrial structure. The growth of human capital will enlarge the wage gap between urban senior labor force and rural primary labor force, but the upgrading of industrial structure can inhibit it to a certain extent. With the upgrading of the industrial structure, the contraction of the rural sector will make the growth smaller, the growth driven by the primary labor force will become smaller, but the growth driven by human capital will become larger. In order to ease the growing inequality and declining growth trend in China, the upgrading of industrial structure, human capital investment and Equalization, and household registration reform need to go hand in hand at the same time.
【作者单位】： 北京大学新结构经济学研究中心;
【基金】：清华大学农村研究博士论文奖学金(2013-2014) 国家自然科学基金委主任项目“跨越中等收入陷阱:以沿海地区率先转型升级为突破口”(项目编号:71350002)
【分类号】：F121.3
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前1条
1 章元;许庆;邬t焧，
本文编号：2485906
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/jingjilunwen/zhongguojingjilunwen/2485906.html
