鲁南经济带经济与环境的协调发展研究

发布时间：2019-06-10 23:13

【摘要】：随着科技的进步和社会经济的不断发展，经济发展与环境保护之间的矛盾日益突出，经济与环境协调发展问题已经成为21世纪社会经济发展最突出的问题之一。鲁南经济带作为山东省区域经济板块的重要组成部分，近年来，经济社会发展取得了较大进步，同时也不可避免地产生一系列生态环境问题，环境污染日益严重。在新的发展阶段，鲁南经济带如何实现经济与环境的协调发展成为其当前面临的重大而紧迫的问题。本文在借鉴相关研究的基础上，以可持续发展理论、协调发展理论、环境经济理论等与经济与环境协调发展相关理论为理论支撑，遵照科学性、层次性、综合性、简明性、可行性及以人为核心等原则，结合鲁南经济带的经济与环境的实际状况，构建了经济与环境协调发展评价指标体系，并采用商权法与多目标二级决策法相结合确定权重，最后运用协调发展评价模型评价分析鲁南经济带5地市环境与经济协调发展状况，，并提出鲁南经济带今后发展的对策建议，以期为鲁南经济带可持续发展提供决策参考。本文得出的结论为：（1）鲁南经济带经济发展指2001~2010年一直处于平稳快速增长阶段，环境发展指数总体程波状起伏缓慢增长趋势，环境发展指数平均高于经济发展指数，二者差距逐渐缩小。（2）鲁南经济带的经济与环境的协调度状况较好，平均为优质协调，呈不断上升趋势。2001-2005年增长较快，2001年为初级协调，2005年达到优质协调后，增长速度放慢，慢慢趋于平缓，2010年协调度值为1，达到完全协调，鲁南经济带经济与环境的协调度水平整体比较乐观。（3）鲁南经济带的经济与环境的协调发展度整体不高，处于中等水平。2001~2010年经济与环境的协调发展度在不断提高，平稳增长，从2001年的濒临失调，依次经勉强协调、初级协调、中级协调，到2010年达到良好协调。5个地市经济与环境的协调发展状况也是越来越好，总的发展趋势与鲁南经济带整体趋势基本保持一致，协调发展度10年平均值由高到低依次是：济宁市、日照市、枣庄市、临沂市、菏泽市。（4）整体经济发展指数小于环境发展指数，发展类型为经济滞后型，并且有逐渐向环境滞后型转变的趋势。（5）区域内各地市的协调发展状况差异明显，5个地市的经济发展指数、环境发展指数、协调度以及协调发展度差距都比较大。
[Abstract]:With the progress of science and technology and the continuous development of social economy, the contradiction between economic development and environmental protection is becoming more and more prominent. The coordinated development of economy and environment has become one of the most prominent problems in social and economic development in the 21st century. As an important part of the regional economic plate of Shandong Province, the economic and social development of Shandong Province has made great progress in recent years, at the same time, it inevitably produces a series of ecological and environmental problems, and the environmental pollution is becoming more and more serious. In the new stage of development, how to realize the coordinated development of economy and environment in southern Shandong economic belt has become an important and urgent problem it is facing at present. On the basis of drawing lessons from the relevant research, this paper takes the theory of sustainable development, the theory of coordinated development, the theory of environmental economy and other theories related to the coordinated development of economy and environment as the theoretical support, in accordance with the scientific, hierarchical, comprehensive and concise, Based on the principle of feasibility and people as the core, combined with the actual situation of economy and environment in the economic belt of southern Shandong, the evaluation index system of coordinated development of economy and environment is constructed, and the weight is determined by the combination of commercial law and multi-objective secondary decision-making method. Finally, the coordinated development model is used to evaluate and analyze the coordinated development of environment and economy in five prefectures and cities of southern Shandong economic belt, and the countermeasures and suggestions for the future development of southern Shandong economic belt are put forward, in order to provide decision-making reference for the sustainable development of southern Shandong economic belt. The conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the economic development of the economic belt of southern Shandong Province has been in a stage of steady and rapid growth in 2010. The overall fluctuating trend of the environmental development index is slow, and the environmental development index is on average higher than the economic development index. The gap between the two is gradually narrowing. (2) the coordination between the economy and the environment in the southern Shandong economic belt is better, with an average of high quality coordination, showing a rising trend. From 2001 to 2005, it grew rapidly, it was the primary coordination in 2001, and reached the high quality coordination in 2005. The growth rate slowed down and slowly tended to flatten. In 2010, the coordination value was 1, reaching full coordination. The coordination level of economy and environment in southern Shandong economic belt is optimistic as a whole. (3) the coordinated development degree of economy and environment in southern Shandong economic belt is not high as a whole, and it is at the medium level. The coordinated development degree of economy and environment is improving continuously from 2001 to 2010. Steady growth, from 2001 on the verge of imbalance, followed by grudging coordination, primary coordination and intermediate coordination, to achieve good coordination by 2010. The coordinated development of the economy and environment of the five prefectures and cities is also getting better and better. The overall development trend is basically consistent with the overall trend of the southern Shandong economic belt. The average value of coordinated development in 10 years is Jining City, Rizhao City, Zaozhuang City, Linyi City, in turn, Jining City, Rizhao City, Zaozhuang City, Linyi City, Heze City. (4) the overall economic development index is smaller than the environmental development index, the type of development is economic lag type, and there is a trend of gradual transformation to environmental lag type. (5) the coordinated development of each prefecture and city in the region is obviously different. The economic development index, environmental development index, coordination degree and coordinated development degree of the five prefectures and cities are quite different.
【学位授予单位】：曲阜师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：X22;F127

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