浙江服务贸易与经济增长的关系研究
发布时间：2019-07-05 07:23
【摘要】：随着国际产业转移和产业结构的调整，全球服务贸易的迅猛发展，，成为当今国际贸易中最活跃，最具有增长潜力的一部分，对经济增长的重要性逐渐增强。与世界发达国家或地区相比，中国服务贸易发展时间较晚，尤其新兴服务领域发展较为落后，但中国服务贸易总体竞争力正在不断提升。近年来，浙江服务贸易发展势头良好，增长空间较大，其对浙江经济增长的贡献也将越来越大，对服务贸易与经济增长关系的研究对于经济发展战略的制定具有重要的理论和实践意义。从目前理论研究的情况来看，货物贸易与经济增长关系的研究占据了主要地位，但随着服务贸易的迅速发展及其对经济贡献力度的加大，服务贸易与经济增长关系的理论研究也出现了重大突破，但研究不够深入，有待于加强。 本文通过对服务贸易和经济增长关系相关理论的剖析，在总结已有文献的基础上，从规模、结构、特征、竞争力等方面对浙江服务贸易发展概况以及所面临的机遇和挑战作了分析。又从资本、就业、技术效应以及服务贸易需求等角度，对浙江服务贸易与经济增长的长期相互作用的机制作了研究。在理论分析的框架下，文章运用ADF平稳检验、多变量协整检验、回归分析等多种计量分析方法对服务贸易和经济增长的长期数据进行了检验和分析，得出两者长期相互促进的结论；此外，本文还采取贸易依存率、贸易贡献率、增长弹性这三个指标分析了浙江经典部门服务贸易和经济增长两者之间的短期关系。最后，本文在原有分析的基础上提出了相关政策建议以提升浙江服务贸易竞争力，从而促进浙江经济的进一步增长。
[Abstract]:With the adjustment of international industrial transfer and industrial structure, the rapid development of global trade in services has become the most active and potential part of international trade, and its importance to economic growth has gradually increased. Compared with the developed countries or regions in the world, China's service trade develops late, especially in the emerging service field, but the overall competitiveness of China's service trade is constantly improving. In recent years, Zhejiang service trade has a good momentum of development and large growth space, and its contribution to Zhejiang's economic growth will be greater and greater. The study of the relationship between service trade and economic growth is of great theoretical and practical significance for the formulation of economic development strategy. From the current theoretical research situation, the study of the relationship between trade in goods and economic growth occupies a major position, but with the rapid development of trade in services and the increase of its contribution to the economy, there has also been a major breakthrough in the theoretical research on the relationship between trade in services and economic growth, but the research is not deep enough and needs to be strengthened. Based on the analysis of the related theories of the relationship between service trade and economic growth, and on the basis of summing up the existing literature, this paper analyzes the development situation, opportunities and challenges of Zhejiang service trade from the aspects of scale, structure, characteristics, competitiveness and so on. From the point of view of capital, employment, technology effect and demand of service trade, this paper also studies the long-term interaction mechanism between service trade and economic growth in Zhejiang Province. In the framework of theoretical analysis, this paper uses ADF stationary test, multivariable cointegration test, regression analysis and other econometric analysis methods to test and analyze the long-term data of service trade and economic growth, and draws the conclusion that the two promote each other for a long time. In addition, this paper also analyzes the short-term relationship between service trade and economic growth in Zhejiang classical sectors by using three indexes: trade dependence rate, trade contribution rate and growth elasticity. Finally, on the basis of the original analysis, this paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions to enhance the competitiveness of Zhejiang service trade, so as to promote the further growth of Zhejiang economy.
【学位授予单位】：浙江理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752.68;F127
本文编号：2510353
[Abstract]:With the adjustment of international industrial transfer and industrial structure, the rapid development of global trade in services has become the most active and potential part of international trade, and its importance to economic growth has gradually increased. Compared with the developed countries or regions in the world, China's service trade develops late, especially in the emerging service field, but the overall competitiveness of China's service trade is constantly improving. In recent years, Zhejiang service trade has a good momentum of development and large growth space, and its contribution to Zhejiang's economic growth will be greater and greater. The study of the relationship between service trade and economic growth is of great theoretical and practical significance for the formulation of economic development strategy. From the current theoretical research situation, the study of the relationship between trade in goods and economic growth occupies a major position, but with the rapid development of trade in services and the increase of its contribution to the economy, there has also been a major breakthrough in the theoretical research on the relationship between trade in services and economic growth, but the research is not deep enough and needs to be strengthened. Based on the analysis of the related theories of the relationship between service trade and economic growth, and on the basis of summing up the existing literature, this paper analyzes the development situation, opportunities and challenges of Zhejiang service trade from the aspects of scale, structure, characteristics, competitiveness and so on. From the point of view of capital, employment, technology effect and demand of service trade, this paper also studies the long-term interaction mechanism between service trade and economic growth in Zhejiang Province. In the framework of theoretical analysis, this paper uses ADF stationary test, multivariable cointegration test, regression analysis and other econometric analysis methods to test and analyze the long-term data of service trade and economic growth, and draws the conclusion that the two promote each other for a long time. In addition, this paper also analyzes the short-term relationship between service trade and economic growth in Zhejiang classical sectors by using three indexes: trade dependence rate, trade contribution rate and growth elasticity. Finally, on the basis of the original analysis, this paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions to enhance the competitiveness of Zhejiang service trade, so as to promote the further growth of Zhejiang economy.
【学位授予单位】：浙江理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F752.68;F127
【引证文献】
相关硕士学位论文 前2条
1 吴鑫;中国金融服务贸易与经济增长关系研究[D];浙江大学;2016年
2 朱晓辉;文化贸易与上海经济转型发展的关系研究[D];浙江理工大学;2015年
本文编号：2510353
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