出行者对不同交通方式行程时间可靠度和车内拥挤度的感知差异性

发布时间：2018-01-09 02:12

本文关键词：出行者对不同交通方式行程时间可靠度和车内拥挤度的感知差异性　出处：《中国公路学报》2017年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：为了更科学合理地对配置多模式交通设施资源提供理论依据,利用效用平衡原理与平面设计原则,构建了一种融合多影响因素(费用、行程时间、行程时间可靠度、车内拥挤程度)和多种交通方式(自驾、地铁、停车换乘、公交车)用于分析出行选择行为的SP调查设计方法。采用一对一、面对面调查方法收集有效行为数据,利用离散选择理论定量化分析了各种因素对出行方式选择的影响,探究了多模式交通网络中的方式选择行为,解析了出行者对不同交通方式行程时间可靠度和车内拥挤度的感知差异性。研究结果表明:地铁的可靠度价值比公交车和小汽车的可靠度价值分别高59.8%和32.1%;公交车的车内拥挤度价值比地铁和停车换乘的车内拥挤度价值高26%和84%,表明出行者对不同交通方式行程时间可靠度和车内拥挤存在显著的感知差异性,感知差异性显著影响方式选择模型预测结果而应该在模型中被充分考虑;行程时间可靠度和车内拥挤度显著影响通勤出行者的方式选择;平均时间价值和行程时间可靠度价值分别为49.8,81.97元·h~(-1),出行者愿意增加超过50%的平均出行时间来避免过度的车内拥挤;定量化的支付意愿等结果可用于多模式交通设施的规划设计与评价。
[Abstract]:In order to be more scientific and reasonable allocation of multimodal transport facilities resources provide a theoretical basis, using the utility balance principle and graphic design principles, construct a fusion of multi factors (cost, travel time, travel time reliability, crowdedness degree) and many kinds of traffic mode (car, subway, park and ride the bus. For the analysis of SP survey) travel choice behavior. The design method of one-on-one, face-to-face survey methods to collect effective behavioral data, analysis of various factors that influence the choice of travel mode by using the discrete choice theory of quantification, explores the multimodal transportation network in the way of choice behavior, analysis of the travelers to travel different traffic modes time reliability and vehicle congestion perception difference degree. The results show that the reliability value of the subway than the reliability value of the bus and the car were increased by 59.8% and 32.1% bus; The car car crowding value than the subway Park and ride car congestion value high 26% and 84%, showed that the traveler on the travel time reliability of different traffic modes and bus congestion perception differences, significantly affect the differences in perception of mode choice model and the prediction results should be fully considered in the model; travel time reliability and car crowding effect travelers choose the way of commuting; the value of reliability of the average value of time and travel time were 49.8,81.97 yuan h~ (-1), travelers are willing to increase more than 50% of the average travel time to avoid excessive car congestion; quantitative willingness to pay results for the planning and evaluation of multimodal transport facilities.

【作者单位】：同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(51578414,71571138)
【分类号】：U491
【正文快照】： 0引言虽然中国上海等大城市的交通拥堵日益严重,但小汽车依然是通勤者最偏好的出行方式。优先发展公共交通是解决城市拥堵问题的有效措施之一。为缓解交通拥堵,交通管理者尝试利用停车换乘(Parking and Ride,PR)、快速公交(Bus RapidTransit,BRT)等措施提升公共交通的分担率

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