自由贸易港区对不定期船航次成本的影响研究

发布时间：2018-01-11 12:11

本文关键词：自由贸易港区对不定期船航次成本的影响研究　出处：《集美大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：自2013年上海自贸区批复以来,中国掀起了一波建设自贸区的热潮。2015年中国陆续设立了天津自由贸易试验区,广东自由贸易试验区,福建自由贸易试验区,2016年又先后批复设立了辽宁省自由贸易试验区、浙江省自由贸易试验区、河南省自由贸易试验区等7个自贸试验区,至此,中国已有11个自由贸易试验区。自贸试验区可以在投资、贸易、金融、创业创新、事中事后监管等多个方面进行大胆探索,有效激发了市场主体活力,推动了大众创业、万众创新。另一方面,国际金融危机以来,国际航运业进入低速、低位、低迷的“新常态”。具体表现为全球经济仍然处于低速增长的范围内,经济环境依然复杂多变;国际油价和大宗商品的价格保持在较低水平,这将对石油需求的增长产生较大影响,因为新兴经济体经济面临更大的经济放缓,将抑制石油需求的增长;航运市场持续处于低谷。航运市场是国际贸易和世界经济的派生需求市场,自由贸易港区的发展将对航运业的发展带来很大的促进作用。本文在此背景下结合运用派生需求理论和航次成本理论,以自由贸易港区的相关政策作为影响因子,研究了自由贸易港区对不定期船航次成本的影响。论文首先归纳总结了国内外学者的研究成果,并对自由贸易港区对不定期船航次成本的影响作了相关理论分析,找出了自由贸易港区对不定期船航次成本的主要影响因子。然后,通过建立不定期船航次成本模型,以中澳不定期船航线的航次成本为随机样本,研究了油价和港口使费对巴拿马型船的航次成本的影响。研究发现,在保持用油量和港口使费不变的情况下,平均燃油价格每上升1%,则航次成本上升0.66%;在保持用油量和平均燃油价格不变的情况下,港口使费每上升1%,则航次成本上升0.25%。同时也可以看出航次成本对燃油的敏感度要远远大于对港口使费的敏感度,因此自贸港区的相关政策,尤其是关税和燃油政策对降低航次成本具有重要的意义。
[Abstract]:Since the approval of the 2013 Shanghai FTA has set off a wave of construction of Chinese FTA boom.2015 Chinese gradually established Tianjin Free Trade Zone, Guangdong Free Trade Zone, Fujian Free Trade Zone in 2016, and has approved the establishment of the Liaoning Free Trade Zone, Zhejiang Free Trade Zone, free trade in Henan province the 7 test area FTA test area, so far, Chinese has 11 free trade zone. Free Trade Zone in investment, trade, finance, entrepreneurship and innovation, many aspects of the matter in the post regulation in bold exploration, effectively stimulate the vitality of market players, promote public entrepreneurship, innovation. On the other hand, since the international financial crisis, the international shipping industry into low-speed, low, the downturn in the "new normal". The specific performance of the global economy is still in a low growth range, the economic environment is still Complex; international oil prices and commodity prices remain at a low level, which will have a greater impact on oil demand growth, because emerging economies face greater economic slowdown will restrain the growth of petroleum demand; shipping market in the doldrums. The shipping market is a derived demand market of international trade and the world economy the development of free trade zone, will bring a great role in promoting the development of the shipping industry. This paper combined with the use of derived demand theory and voyage cost theory, related to the policy of free trade zone as the impact factor, effects of the free trade zone on the tramp ship voyage cost. The paper summarizes the research the results of domestic and foreign scholars, and the free trade zone for the related theoretical analysis about the effect of tramp ship voyage cost, find out the free trade port area of The main effect of regular ship voyage cost factor. Then, through the establishment of tramp ship voyage cost model, to Australia tramp ship voyage cost as a random sample, studied the oil and port charge effect on the Panama ship voyage cost. The study found that in oil consumption and port charges unchanged under the condition of average fuel prices increased by 1%, while the voyage costs increased by 0.66%; in keeping oil consumption and average fuel prices remain unchanged, the fee for each increase of 1%, while the voyage cost increase of 0.25%. also can be seen on the fuel voyage cost sensitivity is much larger than the charge sensitivity to the port, so the relevant policy of free trade port, especially tariff and fuel policy has important significance for reducing the cost of the voyage.

【学位授予单位】：集美大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F550.66

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