雅加达快速公交系统交通需求与供应分析

发布时间：2018-01-15 13:20

本文关键词：雅加达快速公交系统交通需求与供应分析　出处：《长安大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：通过扩张现有快速公交系统(BRT),提高BRT客流量,对提高雅加达大都市区(JMA)BRT系统是非常有效的措施,可以解决JMA的城市机动问题。然而,扩张BRT的首要问题是找到没有被BRT覆盖,但潜在的交通需求区域。基于此,本文通过分析雅加达BRT系统的交通需求和供应现状,研究交通供需差异,为BRT的扩张提供指导。本文应用需求指数方法,对不同区域交通需求影响因素进行了聚集分析,并将公共交通需求以单一的数值反映在每个空间区域上。运用ArcGIS的SQL和空间SQL,提取了交通需求分析的相关数据;通过相关性分析选择影响交通需求的变量;基于因子分析法和决策的配对比较法确定了每个变量的权重值。在此基础上,通过交通需求和供应分析,生成了现有的交通供需差异图和政策干预下的交通供需差异图。论文研究结果显示,公共交通需求主要受社会经济因素的影响,其服务对象主要集中于三个主要的社会群体:通勤群体,低收入群体和年龄劣势群体。通过方案对比,基于决策影响指数分析的交通需求总体低于基于因子分析的现状交通需求。通过公共交通需求分析,CBD(商业中心区)和工业区交通需求较高;公共交通供应水平分析结果表明,在JMA和雅加达中心的外围交通供给水平较低。供需差异分析表明,在JMA和CBD的外围和工业区交通供需差异明显。研究结论表明,BRT应往JMA周边、CBD和工业区域扩张。政策干预下的BRT扩张易导致社会不平等。因社会经济因素影响交通需求,减小区域社会不平等也可改善交通机动性问题。
[Abstract]:By expanding the existing BRT system and increasing the BRT passenger flow, it is a very effective measure to improve the JMA-BRT system in the Jakarta metropolitan area. Can solve the problem of urban mobility of JMA. However, the primary problem of expanding BRT is to find areas of potential traffic demand that are not covered by BRT. Based on this. This paper analyzes the traffic demand and supply of Jakarta BRT system, studies the difference between traffic supply and demand, and provides guidance for the expansion of BRT. This paper applies the demand index method. The influence factors of traffic demand in different regions are analyzed, and the public transport demand is reflected in each spatial area by a single value. The SQL of ArcGIS and the spatial SQL are used. The relevant data of traffic demand analysis are extracted. Selecting the variables that affect the traffic demand through the correlation analysis; The weight of each variable is determined by pairing comparison method based on factor analysis and decision making. On this basis, traffic demand and supply are analyzed. The existing map of traffic supply and demand difference and the difference map of traffic supply and demand under policy intervention are generated. The research results show that public transport demand is mainly affected by social and economic factors. Its clients are mainly concentrated in three main social groups: commuter groups, low-income groups and age disadvantaged groups. The traffic demand based on decision impact index analysis is lower than that of current traffic demand based on factor analysis. The results of public transport supply level analysis show that the external traffic supply level in JMA and Jakarta center is low, and the difference between supply and demand is analyzed. The difference between traffic supply and demand in the periphery of JMA and CBD and in industrial area is obvious. The conclusion of the study shows that BRT should go to the periphery of JMA. CBD and industrial regional expansion. The expansion of BRT under policy intervention can easily lead to social inequality. The reduction of regional social inequality can also improve the mobility of traffic because of the influence of social and economic factors on traffic demand.
【学位授予单位】：长安大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：U491.17

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