城市公共交通出行时间价值估算方法研究

发布时间：2018-01-24 16:43

本文关键词： 公共交通估算模型出行时间价值情境设计　出处：《石家庄铁道大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：21世纪以来,随着中国经济的飞速发展和城市化进程的加快,城市居民出行需求不断增加。为了解决居民出行的需求以及城市交通拥堵问题。城市轨道交通作为一种运量大、延误少、服务质量高等特点的交通出行方式进入大发展时期。公共交通出行不再是以前的单一常规公交。为了科学合理地评价交通建设项目的社会效益和定量预测轨道交通的客流量,设计和推出符合居民出行需求的运输服务,最大限度地满足居民出行需要,就成为其未来发展的首要任务。由此,在目前我国城市交通事业快速发展的大背景下,开展交通出行时间价值的研究,不仅具有理论意义,而且具有很强的现实意义。首先,本文系统的梳理和总结了现有应用在交通领域中时间价值理论和计算方法。把时间价值分为资源时间价值和行为时间价值两类。由于公共交通出行时间价值是基于出行者对交通方式的选择,其属于行为时间价值,因此,主要分析了行为时间价值的适用性。经过分析适用性决定沿用效用最大化的思想进行公共交通出行时间价值估算研究。其次,理解公共交通出行时间价值的内涵,分析出行者选择出行方式的影响因素。本文考虑出行者的家庭人均收入、出行目的、家庭是否有车以及年龄等影响因素。紧接着对交通工具特性和出行者选择交通方式特性提出合理假设,建立出行者在不同属性下的公共交通出行时间价值估算模型。以公共交通选择影响因素分析为前提,基于时间价值估算模型对基础数据的需要,设计了基础数据获取调查体系。介绍并分析了RP和SP两种调查方法。经过分析两种调查方法各自的有缺点,最终本文采用SP调查方法获得基础数据。为了保障数据的合理性,建立的数据筛选标准。最后,以石家庄为例,采集基础数据,估算获得不同属性下的公共交通出行时间价值。
[Abstract]:Since 21th century, with the rapid development of China's economy and the acceleration of the process of urbanization. In order to solve the problem of residents' travel demand and urban traffic congestion, urban rail transit is a kind of large volume of transportation and less delay. In order to evaluate the social benefits of traffic construction projects scientifically and rationally and quantitatively predict rail transit, public transport travel is no longer a single conventional bus. Traffic. Design and launch of transportation services that meet the needs of residents travel to the maximum extent to meet the needs of residents travel will become the primary task of its future development. Under the background of the rapid development of urban transportation in China, it is not only of theoretical significance but also of great practical significance to carry out the research on the value of traffic travel time. First of all. This paper systematically reviews and summarizes the theory and calculation methods of time value used in the field of transportation. Time value is divided into two categories: resource time value and behavioral time value. Because the value of public transportation travel time is the base. The choice of mode of transportation for travelers. It belongs to the behavioral time value, therefore, it mainly analyzes the applicability of behavioral time value. Through the analysis of applicability, it is decided to use the idea of utility maximization to study the estimation of public transport travel time value. Secondly. Understand the meaning of public transport travel time value and analyze the factors that affect travelers' choice of travel mode. This paper considers the family per capita income and travel purpose of travelers. Whether the family has a car or not and age and other factors. Then the characteristics of the vehicle and the choice of transport mode characteristics of the travelers to put forward reasonable assumptions. Based on the analysis of the influencing factors of public transport choice, the paper establishes the time value estimation model of public transportation under different attributes, based on the needs of the basic data based on the time value estimation model. The basic data acquisition investigation system is designed. Two investigation methods, RP and SP, are introduced and analyzed. Finally, this paper uses SP survey method to obtain basic data. In order to ensure the reasonableness of the data, establish the data screening standard. Finally, take Shijiazhuang as an example to collect basic data. Estimate the value of public transport travel time under different attributes.
【学位授予单位】：石家庄铁道大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：U491

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