基于轨道交通接驳的公共自行车租赁点规划方法研究

发布时间：2018-02-26 17:27

本文关键词： 轨道交通公共自行车接驳方法比选需求预测选址　出处：《东南大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近年来,国家大力推进公共交通系统的建设,政府职能部门也相继出台了一系列优先发展公共交通的措施。其中,轨道交通在我国正处于高速发展时期,而公共自行车系统的建设速度却稍显滞后,这造成了各城市与轨道接驳的公共自行车租赁点建设尚未完全展开。但随着各城市推进公共交通的大趋势,该类租赁点的完善也将成为公共自行车系统中不可或缺的重要组成部分。首先,论文全面梳理了轨道交通系统及公共自行车系统的基本概念,回顾了两者在世界及我国的发展历程,在此基础上分析轨道交通与公共自行车接驳的特性,为模型构建奠定理论基础。其次,设计完整的调查方案。选择南京市河西地区,对不同类型租赁点进行借还需求调查,对地铁站乘客开展换乘选择特性调查,并统计分析得到各租赁点的借还需求时间及空间规律以及乘客的换乘行为特性,为模型的形式确定及参数标定提供数据来源。再次,梳理公共自行车系统专项规划的完整流程以及涉及的主要方法,并对常用方法进行分析总结。在此基础上,比较基于轨道交通接驳的公共自行车规划与普通租赁点规划间的联系与区别,据此,依次总结比选对于该类站点在需求预测阶段以及选址阶段现行的主流规划方法,并对各方法的影响因素、优缺点、适用范围等内容进行比较,构建完整的基于轨道交通接驳的公共自行车租赁点规划方法。最后,将元通地区站周边区域作为研究实例。选用多项Logit模型作为需求预测方法,并根据调查数据对参数变量进行筛选,在此基础上构建需求预测模型,并对参数进行标定,通过参数检验确认模型的准确性和有效性；选用模糊TOPSIS法作为选址模型,通过熵权法获得属性权重,测算后得到最优方案,并以此为基础分别确定各租赁点的停车桩数及车辆数。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the state has vigorously promoted the construction of the public transport system, and the government functional departments have successively introduced a series of measures to give priority to the development of public transport. Among them, rail transit is in a period of rapid development in our country. However, the construction of public bicycle system has lagged behind, which has caused the construction of public bicycle rental points between cities and track to be completed. But with the development of public transportation in cities, The perfection of this kind of leasing points will also become an indispensable part of the public bicycle system. Firstly, the paper comprehensively combs the basic concepts of rail transit system and public bicycle system. This paper reviews the development of the two systems in the world and China, analyzes the characteristics of rail transit and public bicycle connection, and lays a theoretical foundation for the model construction. Secondly, a complete investigation scheme is designed, and the Hexi area of Nanjing is chosen. Through the investigation of the demand for loan and return of different types of rental points, the characteristics of transfer selection for passengers in subway stations are investigated, and statistical analysis is made to obtain the regularity of time and space required for borrowing and repaying and the characteristics of passengers' transfer behavior at each rental point. Third, combing the complete process of the special planning of the public bicycle system and the main methods involved, and analyzing and summarizing the common methods, on the basis of this, the paper provides the data source for the formal determination of the model and the calibration of the parameters. This paper compares the connection and difference between the public bicycle planning based on rail transit connection and the common rental point planning, and then summarizes and compares the current mainstream planning methods for this kind of stations in the demand forecasting stage and the site selection stage. By comparing the influencing factors, advantages and disadvantages, and applicable scope of each method, a complete planning method of public bicycle rental point based on rail transit connection is constructed. Finally, Taking the surrounding area of Yuantong station as an example, several Logit models are selected as the demand forecasting method, and the parameter variables are screened according to the survey data. On this basis, the demand forecasting model is constructed and the parameters are calibrated. The accuracy and validity of the model are confirmed by parameter test, the fuzzy TOPSIS method is selected as the location model, the attribute weight is obtained by entropy weight method, and the optimal scheme is obtained after calculation. On the basis of this, the number of parking piles and the number of vehicles at each rental point are determined respectively.
【学位授予单位】：东南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：U491.225

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